Read Methodology Articles with Replication Datasets

2026

A Bayesian Fix for Uncertain Long-Run Effects in Short Time Series
long-run multipliersbayesian time seriesstationarityshort time seriescredible intervalspolitical methodology2026@AJPS 3 R files 6 Datasets Dataverse

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2025 est.

Reanalysis of 49 Studies Shows TWFE Results Often Variable and Underpowered
Causal Inference Difference-In-Differences Fixed Effects Panel Datatreatment effect heterogeneity2025 est.@APSR Dataverse

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Improving Compliance in Experimental Studies of Discrimination
2025 est.@JOP 3 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

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Quantitative Research in Political Science Is Greatly Underpowered
2025 est.@JOP 45 R files 11 Stata file 72 Datasets Dataverse

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Move Beyond Tables: Simulating Volatility in ARCH–GARCH Models
bootstrapping Time Series Analysisarch modelsgarch modelsvolatility2025 est.@JOP 5 R files 12 Stata files 33 Datasets Dataverse

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2025

How AI Extracts Medications and Symptoms From Patient Notes
Machine Learning Text Analysisnamed entity recognition2025@PS Dataverse

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Measuring Causal Effects When Outcomes Are Hidden
latent variables2025@AJPS 10 Datasets Dataverse

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Reproducibility Is Rising in Political Science—But Most Papers Still Don't Share Data
Replication Transparencydata sharingrandom samplingrandom sample2025@PS Dataverse

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How to Automatically Spot Which Groups Politicians Talk About
Text Analysis Machine Learningtransformer modelsgroup mentionspolitical rhetoricparty communication2025@BJPS 10 R files 30 Datasets Dataverse

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De-Identification Fails: Differential Privacy Protects Survey Respondents—But Requires Bigger Samples
differential privacyreidentificationsample size2025@AJPS 13 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

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Weather Instruments Under Threat: Widespread Exclusion-Restriction Violations Found
weather2025@AJPS 4 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Linking Regional and National Politics: New Dataset Covers 21 Countries, 1941–2019
Comparative Politicselectoral dataparty ideologyregional cabinetsmulti-level governancedata harmonization2025@BJPS 1 Stata file 2 Datasets Dataverse

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How RoBERTa Finds Government Rationales for Internment—And Where It Fails
Text Analysisrobertainternment without trialarchival ocr errorshuman rights abuses2025@JOP Dataverse

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Cross-Encoders Beat Word Methods for Short Political Texts
Machine Learning Text Analysis2025@AJPS 2 R files 28 Datasets Dataverse

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AI Reads Politics: LLMs Match Experts on Party Positions and Coalitions
Machine Learningnatural language understandingText Analysispolitical methodologyPolitical Parties Coalition Formation2025@AJPS 6 Datasets Dataverse

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Mapping "Organizing": Visual Tools Reveal Research Gaps in Political Action
citations Collective Actionliterature mappingmethodology2025@PS Dataverse

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2024

MPs' Twitter Followers Reveal Ideological Positions and Predict Tory Endorsements
Ideal Pointsbritish mpssocial media networkscorrespondence analysiscandidate endorsementsPolitical Behavior2024@BJPS 13 R files 11 dataset Dataverse

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Fixed Effects Don't Always Fix Post-Treatment Bias in Camp Legacy Research
legacy studies2024@APSR 7 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

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Why Do People Draw Neighborhoods Along Race and Party Lines?
Geocoded Data Survey Datasubjective neighborhoodsmap survey2024@APSR 33 R files 13 Datasets Dataverse

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2023

Fixing Crosswise Survey Bias From Inattentive Respondents
List Experimentsbias correctionanchor questioncrosswise model2023@Pol. An.13 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Improve Proportion Estimates From Text With Matching And Continuous Features
Text Analysis2023@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Bayesian Rule Sets: An Interpretable Alternative to QCA for Noisy Data
Bayesian Methods Qualitative Comparative Analysisinterpretable machine learningrule setsComparative Analysis2023@JOP 34 R files Dataverse

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Train Once, Classify Across: Party Platforms Predict Speech Topics
Machine Learning Text Analysisdomain adaptation2023@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Why AMCE Misleads When Studying Preferences in Forced‑Choice Conjoint Experiments
Conjoint Experiments Voter Preferences2023@Pol. An.10 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

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How Partisan Symmetry Metrics Fail in Practice
Partisan Biasmean-median difference2023@Pol. An.170 datasets Dataverse

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How Noisy, Privacy-Protected Facebook Data Still Yield Valid Results
computational methods Social Mediadifferential privacy2023@Pol. An.11 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

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Fatal Terror Attacks Create Social Desirability Bias in Survey Responses
Measurement Error Political Participation Terrorismsocial desirability bias2023@AJPS 8 Stata files 13 datasets Dataverse

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2022

A Permutation Test That Spots Real Changes in Effect Sizes
Time Series Analysischangepoint detection2022@Pol. An.5 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Turn Open-Ended Answers Into Continuous Attention Checks
manipulation checksr package2022@Pol. An.3 R files Dataverse

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Skewed Measurement Error Can Bias Regressions Even When Small
Measurement Errornonlinear estimation2022@Pol. An.13 Stata files 5 datasets Dataverse

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How Adaptive Fuzzy Matching Fixes Messy Single-Field Data Merges
Administrative Data computational methodsfuzzy matchingentity resolutiondata mergingrecord linkage2022@Pol. An.4 R files 26 datasets Dataverse

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New Analysis Uncovers Flaw in Standard ANES Ideological Scales
ANES Survey Data American National Election Studies Measurement Error Political Ideology2022@JOP 37 R files Dataverse

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How Good Are Corruption Measures? A Practical Rubric for Data Quality
Measurement Errorvalidity2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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How to Balance Preferences and Predicted Outcomes in Refugee and School Assignments
Education Game Theoryschool choicestrategy-proofness2022@Pol. An.42 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

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Mixing Integration Orders in Time Series Doesn't Increase Error Risk, New Study Shows
Time Series Analysis2022@PSR&M 8 Stata files Dataverse

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Detecting True Relationships in Time Series Data with Different Orders of Integration
2022@PSR&M 8 Stata files Dataverse

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Names Signal More Than Race: SES and Migration Bias Audit Experiments
Field Experimentinformation equivalencecorrespondence auditsocioeconomic status2022@Pol. An.4 Stata files 4 datasets Dataverse

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Fully Randomized Conjoint Reduces Social Desirability Bias by Two-Thirds
Measurement Errorsocial desirability bias2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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How to Recover Individual Preferences From Conjoint Experiments
Conjoint Experimentsindividual preferences2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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When Time Matters, Use Cox: A Better Approach for Binary Panel Data
Panel Data Survival Analysis Time Series Analysistransition probabilities2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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New Method Shows How Ordinal Scale Choices Can Shift Empirical Estimates
Causal Inference latent variablespartial identificationmonotonic transformationordinal variables2022@Pol. An.1 R file 8 Stata files 180 datasets Dataverse

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How Populist Are Parties? New Machine Learning Scores From Manifestos
Machine Learningsupervised learning2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Machine vs Human Geocoding: Similar Validity, Different Errors in Colombian Rights Data
probit models2022@Pol. An.17 R files Dataverse

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Why Conjoint Results Depend on Profile Distribution
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint Experiments external validity Experimental Methods2022@Pol. An.15 R files 1000 datasets Dataverse

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How to Estimate Multidimensional Ideal Points on Massive Datasets
sparsity2022@Pol. An.2 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

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How CNNs Read Handwritten Vote Tallies for Social Science Research
Elections Images-as-Datahandwriting2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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ZIP Codes Work for White/Black Imputation; Blocks Matter for Asian and Hispanic
US States Bayesian Methods Geocoded Data2022@Pol. An.2 R files 7 datasets Dataverse

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Why Predicting Multiple Labels Together Improves Political Text Coding
Machine Learningmulti-label classification2022@Pol. An.43 datasets Dataverse

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Drop Both or One? New Take on Missing Data in Paired Experiments
Experimental Methods listwise deletionpairwise randomizationdeletion estimatorvariance estimator2022@Pol. An.1 R file 2 datasets Dataverse

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How to Measure Sexism Quickly and Reliably in Political Surveys
Genderhostile sexism2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Why Thousands of AI-Generated Placebos Improve Survey Experiments
Experimental Methodsnonspecific effects2022@Pol. An.1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

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How Fast Answers Reveal Unseen Inattentiveness in Online Surveys
Measurement Error Survey Dataattentivenessclustering2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Why Standard Interaction Tests Mislead and a Better Lasso-Based Fix
Machine Learninginteractionslassopost-double selectionheterogeneity2022@Pol. An.9 R files 116 datasets Dataverse

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Big Data & Rare Events: Standard Fixes Can Backfire
Bayesian Methods Dyadic Analysis Logistic Regressionrare eventscomplete separation2022@PSR&M Dataverse

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Google Searches Forecast U.S. Protests More Accurately Than Twitter
crowd counting2022@Pol. An.12 R files 3 Stata files 270 datasets Dataverse

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Sponsorship Shapes Survey Responses — A New Look at Online Polling Biases
Measurement Error Selection Bias2022@Pol. Behav.6 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

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This study reveals how word-of-mouth alters survey responses on sensitive topics.
Measurement Error Social Networks2022@PSR&M 1 R file 6 Stata files 3 datasets Dataverse

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MIDAS: Deep Learning That Fixes Missing Data Fast
Machine Learningdenoising autoencoder2022@Pol. An.12 R files 1255 datasets Dataverse

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List Experiments Can Be Less Accurate Than Direct Questions on Turnout
List Experiments Measurement Errorpartition validation2022@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

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American Politics Is One-Dimensional, But Politicians Are More Constrained
Machine Learningconstraintdimensionality2022@Pol. An.36 R files 9 datasets Dataverse

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Crowdsourcing Better Validation for Topic Models Used as Measures
external validity Measurement Error United States US Congressvalidation2022@Pol. An.102 R files 81 dataset Dataverse

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New Estimator Solves Dynamic Panel Dilemma for Small-T Studies
Panel Dataorthogonal reparameterizationgmm estimatorsshort-t panels2022@PSR&M Dataverse

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How Multilevel Models Mirror Fixed Effects — And Why Corrections Matter
cluster-robust standard errorsobservational dataclustered standard errorscluster-robust2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2021

Senate Filibusters End Suddenly? Not Always: A Counterintuitive Look at the War of Attrition
maximum likelihood estimation2021@PSR&M 2 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Beyond Words: Vocal Tone Reveals Hidden Political Signals
computational methods Speech-as-Datavocal toneoral arguments2021@APSR Dataverse

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Fast Estimator for Binary Choice Models With Space and Time Dependence
pseudo-mle2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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How AI Helps Better Define Where Civil Wars Actually Happen
Geocoded Data2021@PSR&M Dataverse

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Hidden Control Variables Give Many Papers Their Statistical Significance
Causal Inferencesuppression effectscontrol variablesstatistical significanceobservational studies2021@Pol. An.2 datasets Dataverse

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Political Science Researchers Face Surprising Challenges with Code Obsolescence
computational methods Replicationlong-term maintenanceisps data archivedata preservation2021@PS 1 dataset Dataverse

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Adaptive Research Designs Could Transform How Political Scientists Test Ideas
Experimental Methodsadaptive designtreatment discoveryestimation precision2021@AJPS 12 R files Dataverse

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How Firth's Method Solves Duration Model Problems in Political Science
Logistic Regression Survival Analysiscovariate monotonicityfirths estimation2021@BJPS Dataverse

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Decision Records vs. Voting: A New Approach to Analyzing Committee Outcomes
Bayesian Methods International Organizations judicial review Monte Carlo Structural Models United States2021@PSR&M Dataverse

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Foreign Workers Not the Only Problem on MTurk: An Indian Quality Control Study
crowdsourcing India Measurement Error Survey Data2021@R&P 11 R file 4 Datasets Dataverse

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New Method Creates Political Event Dictionaries with Less Effort
computational methods Text Analysispolitical event codingdictionary generation2021@PSR&M Dataverse

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Small Choices, Big Differences: How Corpus and Coding Change News Tone Measures
Content Analysis Selection Bias Text Analysiscorpus selectioncoding design2021@Pol. An.17 R files 17 datasets Dataverse

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More Attributes, More Responses? Conjoint Surveys Can Handle Complexity Better Than Expected
Conjoint Experiments Measurement Errorfiller attributesresponse quality2021@PSR&M Dataverse

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Even Wrong Network Models Beat Ignoring Spatial Dependence
Network Analysis Spatial Modelsnetwork misspecification2021@Pol. An.8 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Detecting When Political Effects Change: A New Change-Point Toolkit
Time Series Analysischange point analysistemporal heterogeneity2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Minimally-Supervised Corpus-Based Sentiment Analysis Validated for Specialized Legal Language
Machine Learning Text Analysislegal languagebenchmark datasetsspecialized legal languagebenchmarks datasets2021@PSR&M Dataverse

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List Experiments' Achilles Heel: How Placebo Controls Fall Short, Requiring Mixed Lists
List Experiments Measurement Error2021@R&P 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

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Qualitative Transparency Deliberations: Insights from Hundreds of Political Scientists
qualitative analysis Transparencyresearch practice2021@POP Dataverse

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Manski's Method Delivers Reliable Belief Distributions in Online Surveys
Survey Databelief distributionselicitationmanski methodexpectations2021@Pol. An.19 R files 7 datasets Dataverse

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Proving Regression Discontinuity Credibility With Equivalence Tests
manipulation checks Regression Discontinuityequivalence testingdensity test2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Survey Scales Don't Explain Ideology Gaps — Perceptions Do
Ideal Points item response theoryanchoring vignettesaldrich-mckelvey2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Small Samples Don't Mean Big Problems: PML Improves Logit Model Estimates
estimation bias2021@PSR&M 2 datasets Dataverse

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Elite Ethics Experiments: What Officials and Voters Truly Think
Elites Experimental Methods Public Opinionethicsgovernance innovation2021@BJPS 1 Stata file 2 datasets Dataverse

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From Lab to Poll: Why Survey Experiments Reshape Political Research
Experimental Methods external validity Survey Experimentsfactorial design2021@IPSR 6 R files 4 Stata files 10 Datasets Dataverse

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Match Millions in Minutes: New Method Balances Six-Treatment Experiments
computational methods Matching Voter Turnoutlarge-nvoter mobilization2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Just a Few Checks Can Match Full Survey Quality Control
Geocoded Data Machine Learning Measurement Error Speech-as-Data Survey Dataamericasbarometer2021@Pol. An.1 R file 6 datasets Dataverse

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Do More Surveys Mean Better Results? New Study Finds Precision Without Distortion
precision2021@APSR 2 R files 9 Stata files 9 datasets Dataverse

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Understanding Spatial Effects in Political Science: More Than Just Location
Democracy Policy Diffusion Spatial Models2021@PSR&M Dataverse

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Why ADL(2,1) Isn't a Universal Fix for Serial Dependence
Structural Models Time Series Analysisadl2wald test2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Why Plugging ML Predictions Into Regressions Misleads — And How to Fix It
Machine Learning Measurement Errorprediction error2021@Pol. An.10 R files 1 Stata file 27 datasets Dataverse

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How Lobbying Networks Reveal Hidden Communities in Congress
Network Analysiscommunity detectionbipartite networks2021@Pol. An.241 dataset Dataverse

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Correcting False Positive Rates in Interaction Model Testing
false positive ratebenjamini hochberginteraction modelsbrambor procedure2021@CPS Dataverse

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New Technique Maps American Public Ideology at District Level
Bayesian Methods Electoral Geography Redistricting Spatial Modelscensus2021@SPPQ Dataverse

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How Legislative Language Reveals Bureaucratic Discretion and Executive Delegation
Principal-Agent Relationship Text Analysissyntactic parsing2021@Pol. An.2 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

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Economic Games Miss Ethnic Bias — Misattribution Tests Reveal It in Nairobi
Kenya Laboratory Experiment Prosocial Behavior racismmisattribution2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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New Way to Spot Meaningful Government Policies
United Kingdom computational methods Machine Learninggovernment regulationexpert validation2021@APSR Dataverse

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MTurk's 'Don't Know' Quandary: A Surprising Caveat to Online Political Knowledge Studies
crowdsourcing manipulation checksdont know optionresponse behavior2021@PS 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

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Front Pages Matter: Media Exposure Recasts Ministerial Relevance in Brazil's Coalitions
Bureaucracyministerial relevance2021@BPSR 2 Datasets Dataverse

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Facebook Ads Fall Short: How Survey Recruitment Claims Mislead
Social Mediademographic targeting2021@PSR&M 5 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Enhancing Pooled Event History Analysis Through Multilevel Modeling
Abortion Multilevel Modeling Survival Analysispooled event history analysisheterogeneityantiabortion policies2021@SPPQ Dataverse

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Few Upper-Level Units Don't Doom Multilevel Models: ML Estimates Remain Unbiased
Multilevel Modelingrestricted maximum likelihood2021@BJPS Dataverse

i

When Lawmakers Shift: Revealing Different Ideal Points Across Policy Domains
Ideal Points Spatial Models2021@Pol. An.5 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Do List Experiments In Singapore Inflate Responses For Low Education Respondents?
List Experiments Measurement Errormechanical inflationcontrol statement2021@PSR&M 1 R file 2 Stata files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Multinomial Logit Coefficients Mislead: Focus on Predicted Probabilities
Logistic Regressionmultinomial logitpredicted probabilitiesreference categorynominal outcomes2021@Pol. An.1 R file 1 Stata file 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Aligning Votes and Speeches Reveals Shared Ideology and Distinct Issue Signals
latent variablesresamplinglatent factor2021@Pol. An.44 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

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Unseen Networks Can Skew Spillover Estimates — New Sensitivity Tools Show How
Causal Inference Sensitivity Analysis Social Networks2021@Pol. An.6 R files Dataverse

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Beyond Siloed Analysis: How Multilayer Models Solve Political Network Inference Problems
Network Analysismultilayer networksexponential random graph modelpolicy communication2021@PSR&M 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

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How a 'Binary Snowball' Method Boosts Precision in News Topic Coding
Agenda Setting Comparative Politics Europe Machine Learning Text Analysisbinary classificationhungary2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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When the Wald Test Misleads Spatial Model Choice
bootstrapping Spatial Modelsspatial durbin modelwald testlikelihood ratio testlikelihood ratio2021@Pol. An.5 R files Dataverse

i

The Wild Bootstrap With a Small Number of Large Clusters
2021@RESTAT 5 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

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Eye-Tracking Reveals How Respondents Simplify Conjoint Choices
Conjoint Experiments Experimental Methodseye-tracking2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Screeners Could Enhance Political Science Data Quality
Survey Datasurvey standardization2021@PSR&M 3 R files 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

2020

Why UK Backbenchers Aren't Becoming More Alike — Except the Senior Ones
Fixed Effects Legislative Behavior Panel Data Speech-as-Data Text Analysis UK House of Commons2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Divided Government Causality? Two New Methods Address Election Challenges
Spatial Votingprobability restricted design2020@SPPQ Dataverse

i

Central Bank Preferences Uncovered Through Text Analysis Alone
financial crisisscaling methods2020@PSR&M 1 R file 9 datasets Dataverse

i

Small Corpora, Big Insights: Word2Vec Tracks 161 Years of Shifting Meanings
bootstrapping computational methods Machine Learning News Media Text Analysisword2vecsemantic changepretraining2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Active Learning Cuts Text Labeling Costs, Especially for Rare Categories
Content Analysis Machine Learning Text Analysisactive learningtext classificationintercoder reliability2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Text Matching Offers New Solutions for Addressing Confounding Observational Gaps
Causal Inference Matching Text Analysistext confounders2020@AJPS 14 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

How Automated Coding Reveals Human Rights Groups' Naming-and-Shaming
Accountability Interest Groups Text Analysis2020@JHR Dataverse

i

Automated Text Analysis Reveals Radical Shifts in Animal Rights Movements
Collective Action computational methods Political Ideology Text Analysisanimal liberation movement2020@R&P Dataverse

i

New Approach Makes Statistical Duration Findings Easier for Political Scientists
Survival Analysisexpected durations2020@BJPS 5 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Beyond the Unit Root Question: New Approach Handles Uncertainty in Long-Run Economic Relationships
Time Series Analysisuncertaintylong-run relationshipregression modelsregression model application2020@AJPS 30 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Less Deception, More Data: Field Experiment Shows Monitoring Reduces Discrimination Against Hispanics
Field Experiment manipulation checksdiscrimination mitigation2020@SPPQ Dataverse

i

New CNA Method Handles Multi-Value Outcomes & Fuzzy Sets
Causal Inference Qualitative Comparative Analysisfuzzy setmembership scoresr software2020@PSR&M 2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Compare Mediation Effects Without Assuming No Confounding — An Audience Costs Case
Causal Inference Comparative Analysis International Relationsinternational lawcausal mediationaudience costs2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Why Clustered SEs Underestimate Uncertainty — A Better Method
clustered standard errorssmall number of clusters2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Crowdsourcing Makes Local Government Data Accurate and Cheap
crowdsourcing local government Measurement Errordata validationconsensus measures2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

New Dataset Reveals Everyday Racial/Ethnic Environments Are Less Extreme Than Traditional Measures Suggest
Geocoded Data Measurement Errordaily life exposure2020@PSR&M 7 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Averaging Hides Politics: A Binary Quantile Model Reveals Hidden Heterogeneity
counterfactualsbinary quantilediscrete choiceheterogeneityindependence of irrelevant alternativesiia2020@Pol. An.107 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Allowing Contextual Effects Tightens Ecological Inference Bounds by About 44%
Causal Inferencecontextual effectspartial identification2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

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How Political Scientists Can Properly Estimate Direct Causal Effects
Causal Inference Structural Modelsmarginal structural modelscontrolled direct effects2020@PSR&M 1 R file 3 Stata files Dataverse

i

Dropped Groups Explain Why Logit and OLS Diverge
Multilevel Modelingordinary least squaresbinary outcomeols2020@Pol. An.1 R file 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Fixed Effects Can Skew Rare Event Predictions, New Method Fixes It
rare eventsrare events data2020@PSR&M 2 R files 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

New Sampling Method Enters Political Science Mainstream
Survey Datarespondent-driven samplinghidden populationsrespondent driven sampling2020@POP 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Why Log-Log Plots Mislead: Rethinking Power Laws in Public Budgets
Government Spendingpower lawstochastic processlog-log plotstatistical testing2020@Pol. An.1 R file 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Which Text-Matching Methods Actually Work? Evidence From 100+ Tests
Matching Text Analysistext representationdistance metric2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Spatial Weights Are Mismeasured: A Practical Test for Spatial Models
Spatial Modelsspatial weights2020@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Field Guide to Measuring Political Networks
Measurement Error Network Analysisrelational data2020@PSR&M 2 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

When Subgroup Comparisons Mislead: The Problem With Conditional AMCEs
Conjoint Experimentsinteraction effectsmarginal meansinteractions2020@Pol. An.5 datasets Dataverse

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Context Matters: A Dirichlet-Process Model for Hidden Effect Heterogeneity
Bayesian Methods latent variables Monte Carlo nonparametric methodsgeneralized linear models2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Using Multiple Modes to Spot Measurement Error in Experiments
crowdsourcing Experimental Methods nonparametric methodsheterogeneous effects2020@Pol. An.4 R files 7 datasets Dataverse

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Women's March cellphone data reveals news/social media accurately reflect protest size
Collective Action Gender Geocoded Data Twitter2020@APSR 8 R files 23 datasets Dataverse

i

Online Coders Revolutionize Political Video Analysis: Speed & Cost Efficiency Unlocked
Content Analysis crowdsourcingpolitical communication2020@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How Text Mining Predicts When Rival Parties Will React (Evidence From Slovakia)
slovakia Accountability computational methods Machine Learning Partisanship Text Analysis2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Flawed Controls in Political Science Models
Causal Inference Machine Learninginteraction effectsquadratic termsregularizationinteractive effects2020@PSR&M Dataverse

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Facebook Ads Can Approximate Representative US Public Opinion on Climate Change
Public Opinion Survey Data United Statesquota samplingamerican community survey2020@PSR&M 3 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Online Recruitment in India vs. U.S.: Not All Samples Can Make Valid Inferences
India Partisanship Survey Data United Statesrepresentative samplesconvenience samplesbenchmarksrecruitment2020@PSR&M 16 R files 14 datasets Dataverse

i

A Better Alternative to Inverse Probability Weighting for Time-Varying Causal Effects
Causal Inferenceresidual balancingmarginal structural modelsinverse probability weightingcontinuous treatments2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Shadowing Political Elites: A Scalable Way to Observe Daily Behavior
qualitative analysisshadowingobservational methods2020@Pol. An.2 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Do Sponsor Logos Bias Online Surveys? Evidence Says No
Measurement Error Survey Datasponsorshipsatisficing2020@JXPS 2 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Spatial Interdependence in IV Studies: A Surprising Blind Spot for Researchers
Monte Carlo Simulationols bias2020@PSR&M 18 R files 1 Stata file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Geographic Data Points to Better Case Selection and Richer Theory Development
Spatial Modelscase selectiontheory development2020@PSR&M 3 R files Dataverse

i

Text Alone Can Bridge the Gap Between Spatial Voting Theory and Policy Positions
Policy Preferences Text Analysistext scaling2020@APSR 1 R file 1 Stata file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Stacked Regression Beats MRP for Local Public Opinion Estimation
Poststratificationstacked regressionstacked regression and poststratification2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Geographical Correlation Matters: CAR Models Improve State Politics Analysis
Bayesian Methods Spatial Models US States2020@PSR&M 9 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Party Intercepts Can't Pin Down Valence in Spatial Models
Political Parties Spatial Models Spatial Votingvalencediscrete choice2020@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

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How Reliable Are Sensitivity Analyses?
model averagingvariable influence2020@PSR&M 61 R file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

When Networks Are Wrong, Spatial Models Mislead — BMA Fixes It
Spatial Modelsspatial autoregression2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Amazon Mechanical Turk's Data Quality Crisis: New Insights into Detection
crowdsourcing Measurement Errorvirtual private networksfraud detectionvpns2020@PSR&M 1 R file 4 Stata files 40 datasets Dataverse

i

When Surveys Get Interrupted: How Unexpected Events Reveal Causal Effects
Survey Dataeuropean social survey2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Word Order Matters: LSTMs Improve Political Text Classification
Machine Learning News Media Text Analysisword order2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Voter Registration Records Sharpen MRP Estimates to County and District Levels
Elections Survey Data2020@Pol. An.5 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

BLUE Not Best? Non-Normal Errors Challenge Least Squares in Political Data
blue estimatorleast squaresnon-normal errorspolitical dataleast squares method2020@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Expert Disagreement: Mean vs Median Responses Lead to Different Survey Outcomes
European Union Expert Surveys2020@PSR&M 9 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Better Measuring Populist Attitudes Matters for Understanding Democracy's Health
Populism Public Opinionnoncompensatory measuresmultidimensional constructspopulism scalesnon compensatory measuresmulti dimensional constructs2020@APSR 13 R files 46 Stata files 17 datasets Dataverse

i

Sensitivity Bias in Surveys: New Insights from 30 Years of List Experiments
List Experiments Measurement Errorsocial reference theory2020@APSR Dataverse

i

Party Embeddings Reveal Ideology Hidden in Parliamentary Speech
Machine Learning manifestos Political Parties Speech-as-Data Text Analysisparliamentary corpora2020@Pol. An.1 R file 15 datasets Dataverse

i

2019

How Misclassified Failures Distort Survival Studies — And a Bayesian Fix
Bayesian Methods Measurement Error Survival Analysissplit-population models2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How To Test Long-Run Relationships When Stationarity Is Unknown
Time Series Analysiscointegrationlong-run multiplierbounds testing2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

DiD vs Lagged Outcomes: Why Estimates Bracket the Truth
Causal Inference Difference-In-Differenceslagged dependent variableparallel trendsignorabilitysemiparametric methodslagged-outcomesemiparametric2019@Pol. An.1 R file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Edges Make Edges: Rethinking How Political Networks Form
Legislative Behavior Network Analysisnodes-as-actions2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Multinomial Ideal-Point Models: Reclassifying Nonresponse Reveals Hidden Conservatism
multinomial modelsexpectation-maximization em algorithmmultinomialem algorithm2019@Pol. An.3 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Dropping Manipulation-Check Failures Can Produce Serious Bias
Sensitivity Analysisbounds2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Standard G-Estimation Misses: Regression-With-Residuals Handles Effect Moderation
Causal Inferencecontrolled direct effectsg-estimationregression with residuals2019@Pol. An.1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Matching Meets Stratified Sampling: A Practical Theory of Inference
Causal Inference Matchingstratified sampling2019@Pol. An.2 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Non-Random Measurement Error: A New Tool for Political Scientists
academia Measurement Errorstatistical models2019@PSR&M 9 R files Dataverse

i

Flexible Stats Challenge Survey Data Gold Standard
Survey Data Bayesian Methods Machine Learning Multilevel Modeling2019@APSR 3 R files Dataverse

i

Accurate Causal Estimates: Bivariate Probit Models Using Bayesian vs Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Bayesian Methodsbivariate probitmaximum likelihood estimationbivariate probit models2019@PSR&M 17 R files 4 Stata files Dataverse

i

Why Algorithms Still Beat Crowds at Predicting Recidivism
Crime crowdsourcing Machine Learningrecidivismpredictive accuracyalgorithmic fairness2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Dynamic Pies Reveal More Than Just Budget Breakdowns Across US States
compositional datadynamic visualization2019@PSR&M 1 Stata file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Rethinking Random Forest vs. Logit for Predicting Rare Civil War Onsets
civil war onsetMachine Learning Logistic Regressionclass-imbalanced datapredictive methods2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Network Effects Cause Interference In State Legislature Experiments
Field Experiment Legislative Behavior Social Networks State Legislatures2019@SPPQ Dataverse

i

Clearing Up Confusion in Political Research Design
research designdiagnosanddiagnosands2019@APSR Dataverse

i

Survey Experiments Resistant to Demand Effects: A Counterintuitive Look
manipulation checks Survey Experimentsonline political science research2019@APSR 4 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Recovering Time-Varying Population Distributions From Sparse Marginal Data
Bayesian Methods ecological inferencedirichlet distribution2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Bayesian Models Reconstruct Country-Year Public Opinion on Democracy
Bayesian Methods Democracy item response theory latent variables Panel Data Public Opinionpanel smoothing2019@Pol. An.4 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Robust Dynamic Model Reveals Sudden Political Shocks Missed by Standard Models
latent variables Political Ideologydynamic modelsjudicial ideology2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Do Survey Experiments on Mechanical Turk Generalize? New Replication Evidence Provides Insights.
Causal Inference crowdsourcing Experimental Methods external validity Replicationdemographic variation2019@PSR&M 7 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Linking Survey Items to Real Preferences: Hierarchical Models That Reveal Polarization
item response theory latent variables Multilevel Modeling2019@Pol. An.10 R files Dataverse

i

Blending Polls and Fundamentals Improves Multi-Party Election Forecasts
voting and electionsElection Forecasts Bayesian Methodspublic opinion pollsmulti-party systemscoalition governments2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Interview Mode Shifts Responses: Self-Completing vs Face-to-Face for Cognitively Diverse Audiences
Interviews Measurement Error Survey Data United Statesitem nonresponseself-administered surveyscognitive skillsitem non-response2019@PSR&M 5 Stata files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Newspapers Reveal Political Power Through Coverage Space
United States News Media Party Organization US State Politics Text Analysis2019@PSR&M 1 R file 4 Stata files 18 datasets Dataverse

i

A Simpler, Better Way to Model Network Data: AME Beats ERGM and LSM
Bayesian Methods Dyadic Analysis latent variables Network Analysis2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When List Experiments Mislead: Fixing Measurement Error in Sensitive Surveys
nonlinear least squares regressionmodel misspecification testsnlsregmlregmisspecification test2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Lost in Translation: How Aggregation Masks Key Insights in Event Data
ecological inference Selection Biasreport-level datammad datasetreport level data2019@AJPS 1 R file 4 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Lost in Translation? New Algorithm Fixes Geolocation Accuracy
Geocoded Data Machine Learning News Media Text Analysis2019@PSR&M 1 R file 17 datasets Dataverse

i

How Machine Learning Detects Shifts in Human Rights Standards
Machine Learningsupervised learning2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Uncertainty Changes What Spatial Models Say About Party Positions
Bayesian Methods item response theory Measurement Error2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Do We Measure Political Sophistication? New Methods Solve an Old Problem
Media Effects Text Analysisstatistical modelinggoogle books ngramstext complexity2019@AJPS 21 R file 9 datasets Dataverse

i

How Unit Choices Warp Results — A New Measure That Reduces MAUP
Spatial Models Subnational Datamodifiable areal unit problemspatial distributionmaup2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Party Labels Improve Polarization Measurement in UK Commons Speeches (1811–2015)
Machine Learning2019@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

BigKRLS Makes Kernel Models Fast Enough for Real Political Data
computational methods Conjoint Experiments Machine Learning nonparametric methodsmarginal effects2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How To Reveal Direction In Symmetric Networks
Network Analysis treatiesnetwork reconstructioninvestment treaties2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How More Zero Location Mentions Impairs Geolocation Accuracy
Geocoded Data Measurement Errorzero-inflated modelscontextual featureszeros2019@PSR&M Dataverse

i

New Approach Tamest Multilingual Sentiment Analysis For Measuring Parliamentary Conflict
Text Analysistranslatable dictionary2019@LSQ 44 R files 1 Stata file 10 datasets Dataverse

i

Factual Checks Reveal Attention: A New Tool for Experimental Clarity
Experimental Methods manipulation checksattention measurement2019@AJPS 2 Stata files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Fixed-Effects Models Can Make Estimates More Biased Than OLS
Causal Inference Fixed Effects Panel Dataomitted variable bias2019@Pol. An.3 Stata files Dataverse

i

Ignoring Inattentive Respondents Biases Political Surveys — Even List Experiments
manipulation checksattention checks2019@Pol. An.2 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Small Cluster Numbers? New Tools Help Political Scientists Get More Accurate Results
cluster robust standard errorsibragimov mueller methodstatar softwarestata softwarer packages2019@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Simulate Events to Spot Bad Fits in Relational Event Models
Network Analysis Simulationrelational eventsmodel fit2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Who Are IV Compliers? A Simple Way to Profile Them
Instrumental Variablesstatalocal average treatment effect latecompliersnoncompliance2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Heavy-Tailed Policy Changes: Why Normal Distributions Might Mislead Researchers
probability distributionspolicy changevarianceheavy-tailed distributionpolicy change modelswithin-time variancenormal distribution2019@R&P 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

When 'No Liars' Fails: Bounding Sensitive Answers in List Experiments
California List Experiments Survey Experiments2019@Pol. An.6 R files Dataverse

i

How to Judge New Quantitative Methods: A Framework for Replication in Context
ReplicationmethodologyTransparency2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Mapping Nigeria's Elite Connections with Scraping Algorithms: A New Approach to Political Networks
Africa Clientelism computational methods Elites Network Analysisscraping algorithmsnigeria2019@PSR&M 5 R files 23 datasets Dataverse

i

New Method for Simulating Duration Data Improves Cox Model Accuracy
nonparametric methods Simulation Survival Analysis2019@PSR&M 8 R files Dataverse

i

Can Speech Recognition Replace Human Transcripts in Political Text Analysis?
Speech-as-Data Text Analysisbag-of-words2019@Pol. An.12 R files Dataverse

i

Material Actions Outweigh Words in Diplomatic Crises: A Signal Clarity Study
Signalingcredibility2019@APSR 3 R files 23 datasets Dataverse

i

Student Samples Vary Demographically but Produce Similar Experimental Effects
Causal Inference external validity International Relationsstudent samplescrisis bargainingtreatment heterogeneity2019@Pol. An.1 Stata file 9 datasets Dataverse

i

Real-Time Financial Stress Insights Could Reshape Political Behavior Research
financial stressdigital measurement2019@BJPS Dataverse

i

Machine Coded Data? Not Always Better Than Human Coding for Underreporting Bias
computational methods Machine Learning Measurement Error News Media Repression2019@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Venezuela Land Reforms: Individual vs Aggregate Data Matters for Testing Distributive Politics
distributive politics venezuelaland reformsindividual-level datamacro-level analysis2019@PSR&M 9 Stata files 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Probabilistic Model Streamlines Large-Scale Data Merging
Administrative Dataprobabilistic modeldata merging2019@APSR Dataverse

i

Survey Incentives Increased Responses but Weights Failed to Remove Nationalist Bias
Survey Datasurvey weights2019@Pol. An.8 Stata files Dataverse

i

There’s No Magic Formula: Expert Reliability Falls Flat Across Many Characteristics
Expert Surveys item response theory latent variables Measurement Errorcoder-level data2019@R&P Dataverse

i

Unit Fixed Effects Models: A Heads-Up on Their Hidden Limitations
Causal Inference Fixed Effects Matching nonparametric methodsregression models2019@AJPS 7 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

When Propensity Score Matching Hurts: Why Better Matching Beats PSM
Matching Causal Inference2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

2018

When Imputation Hurts: Listwise Deletion Outperforms Under MNAR
missing not at randommissing not at random mnar2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

New Statistical Method Challenges Causal Inference Standards in Political Science
Causal Inference manipulation checks Natural Experimentequivalence testing2018@AJPS 2 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Identify Direct Effects in Survey Experiments Without Risky Assumptions
Causal Inference Experimental Methods Selection Biasfactorial designselection on observablesdirect effect2018@Pol. An.2 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

New Method Shows U.S. Supreme Court Arguments' Quality Highly Susceptible to Unseen Confounders
Causal Inference Sensitivity Analysis United Statessupreme court votingoral argumentsoral argument quality2018@PSR&M 1 R file 5 Stata files 29 datasets Dataverse

i

How Classifier Accuracy Measures Polarization in Westminster Politics
Machine Learning Text Analysisclassification accuracywestminster systemwestminster2018@Pol. An.6 R files 7 Datasets Dataverse

i

How Do We Know What People Think Locally? New Insights on Survey Accuracy
Britain Elections Poststratification Public Opinion Spatial Models Subnational Data2018@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Detect Hidden Actor Roles in Dynamic Networks With ego-TERGM
latent variables Network Analysis Panel Datatergmexpectation-maximizationkapferer2018@Pol. An.2 R files Dataverse

i

WTO Membership Linked to Unrelated Outcomes: A Problem of Selection Bias
Environmental Policy treaties2018@BJPS 17 Stata files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Neurotics Avoid Ideological Questions Due to Error Aversion
Bayesian Methods cooperative congressional election study Multilevel Modeling Political Ideology Survey Dataneuroticismneuroticism avoidance2018@PSR&M 23 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

A New Approach to Boosting Credibility in Political Science Observational Studies
Causal Inference Machine Learningobservational studiespredictive validitygeneralization errorregularization2018@PSR&M 1 R file Dataverse

i

How Senate Speeches and Votes Reveal Hidden Ideology and Leadership
latent variables Spatial Models Text Analysis Voter Preferencesgaussian copula2018@Pol. An.8 R files 16 datasets Dataverse

i

Flexible Likelihood Models Slash Bias in Political Causal Inference
Selection Biasheckman selection model2018@Pol. An.50 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

ARDL Models Offer More Robust Approach to Cointegration Testing in Time Series Analysis
Time Series Analysisardl modelcointegration testing2018@AJPS 1 R file 21 Stata file 64 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Your Experimental Data Might Be Messed Up - And How to Fix It
Causal Inference Selection Biasconditioning biasposttreatment control2018@AJPS 2 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

When Interaction Models Go Wrong: Simple Checks to Avoid Misleading Results
Causal Inferenceinteraction effectsnonlinear models2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Correcting Causal Inference Biases in Time-Series Cross-Sectional Studies
Government Spending Panel Data Time Series Analysiswelfare spendinglagged effects2018@APSR 4 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Measure Individual Ideology From Social Media Short Texts With a Dynamic Lexicon
Text Analysis Voter Preferences2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Fixed Effects Models: How Researchers Misinterpret Their Impact
counterfactuals Causal Inference Fixed Effects2018@PSR&M 2 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Low Information Amplifies Gender Effects; High Information Dampens Them
Political Knowledge Voter Perceptiondynamic presentation2018@Pol. An.2 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Survey Vignettes Mislead: The Hidden Information Equivalence Problem
manipulation checks Survey Experimentsinformation equivalenceplacebo tests2018@Pol. An.7 R files 13 datasets Dataverse

i

New Methods Reveal How Freedom of Expression Leads to Democratic Change
Human Rights V-Demordinal sequences analysis2018@PSR&M 4 R files 11 dataset Dataverse

i

When Expert Averages Fail: IRT Fixes Cross-National Coding
item response theoryexpert codingdifferential item functioning2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Labels Versus Photos Change Voter Reactions to Candidate Race
Experimental Methods2018@Pol. An.8 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

When List-Experiment Estimators Break Down: Small Errors, Big Biases
List Experimentsitem count techniquesurvey design2018@Pol. An.18 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Japan's 2014 Vote Didn't Give LDP a Clear Policy Mandate
Electionselectoral mandate2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Frailty ERGM Reveals How Hidden Traits Warp Network Conclusions
latent variables Multilevel Modeling2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Google Translate Works for Bag-of-Words Text Analysis
computational methods Text Analysistopic modelseuroparllda2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How to Estimate Ideal Points Without Strong Assumptions
Ideal Points nonparametric methods Spatial Modelshypothesis testing2018@Pol. An.8 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Adding Covariates Can Worsen Bias in Political Studies?
Causal Inferenceomitted variable biascountervailing effectsoveradjustment2018@PSR&M 2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Why Spatial Instruments Rarely Work
Instrumental Variables Spatial Modelssimultaneity2018@Pol. An.7 Stata files Dataverse

i

QCA's Blind Spot: Low Power Can Hide True Causal Paths
nonparametric methods Qualitative Comparative Analysispower analysis2018@Pol. An.4 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Time-Varying Coefficients Mislead. Survivor Functions Reveal the Real Effects
International Relations Survival Analysistime-varying effects2018@Pol. An.19 Stata files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

New Measure Reveals How Relationships Between Politicians Are Quantified
Coalition Formation latent variables2018@APSR 1 R file 1 Stata file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Realists Vs Idealists: Do Necessary Conditions Matter in QCA?
computational methods Political Ideologynecessity2018@Pol. An.1 R file 21 dataset Dataverse

i

Navigating Population-Based Municipal Rules in France, Germany & Italy
France Italy Regression Discontinuity Germany2018@AJPS Dataverse

i

Untangling Partial Treatment Effects When Multiple Scores Determine Eligibility
Regression Discontinuity Causal Inferencemultiple running variablesidentificationlocal difference-in-differencesquantile regression2018@Pol. An.1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Boosting Political Science Experiments with an Easy Motivation Technique
Experimental Methodsseriousness techniqueparticipant motivationstudent experiments2018@R&P 2 Stata files Dataverse

i

Scholars vs Subjects: A Clash on Ethics for Political Field Experiments
Norms Survey Dataethicsinformed consentdeceptionpolitical methodologyethics debatepolitical methods2018@POP 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Why Preprocessing Choices Can Make or Break Unsupervised Text Analysis
Machine Learningpreprocessingfeature selection2018@Pol. An.14 R files Dataverse

i

Party Cues Shape Political Text Coding — A Surprising New Study
manifestos Measurement Error Partisan Bias Political Partiescoder bias2018@PSR&M 1 R file 2 Stata files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Conjoint Surveys Withstand Dozens of Tasks, New Experiments Show
crowdsourcingsatisficing2018@Pol. An.2 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

LDV Misconception Corrected: Include More Lags
Monte Carlo Time Series Analysislagged dependent variablesregression models2018@PSR&M 1 R file Dataverse

i

Unlock Insights in Political Science with Flexible Tree-Based Models
Machine Learning nonparametric methods random forests analysisdecision trees2018@AJPS 11 R file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Partial Observability Model Flawed? Minor Errors Can Cause Big Inference Problems
latent variables Monte Carlopartial observabilityfunctional form misspecification2018@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How to Map Radio Reach: Signal Models Reveal Media Exposure During Mali's 2012 Coup
mali News Mediapropagation modelssignal strength2018@Pol. An.1 dataset Dataverse

i

Multiple Imputation Isn’t Always Better: When Complete-Case Regression Works
listwise deletion2018@Pol. An.1 R file 2 Stata files Dataverse

i

When to Weight Survey Experiments: Why Unweighted Estimates Often Suffice
Causal Inference Survey Experimentssurvey weightssample average treatment effect satepopulation average treatment effect pate2018@Pol. An.9 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

2017

A Better Way To Measure Representation: The Earth Mover’s Distance
Latin America2017@Pol. An.1 R file 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

New Framework Ties Human Insight with Computer Efficiency for Political Text Analysis
Content Analysis crowdsourcing Text Analysispairwise comparisonhuman coding2017@APSR Dataverse

i

Racial Names Mostly Signal Race, Not Socioeconomic Clues
Administrative Data Legislative Behavior Signalingracial signalingaudit studylegislators2017@Pol. An.2 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Voluntary Voting Didn't Boost Turnout? The Surprising Bounds on Chilean Election Data
Causal Inference Chile Elections Electoral Systems2017@PSR&M 3 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Humans Flail at Keyword Search; A Better Computer-Based Approach Emerges
computational methods Machine Learning Measurement Error Text Analysishuman bias2017@AJPS 3 R files 20 datasets Dataverse

i

Voter Files Aren't Always Reliable: Assessing Differential Registration Bias
Selection Bias voter files Voter Registration2017@AJPS 3 R files 8 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Ensembles Beat Single Models for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Causal Inference Experimental Methods Machine Learningtreatment effect heterogeneity2017@Pol. An.29 R files 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Bridging the Gap: MrsP Extends Subnational Poll Predictions Beyond Census Limits
Measurement Error Multilevel Modeling Political Representation Poststratification Public Opinion Subnational Datasynthetic poststratification2017@AJPS 60 R files 13 datasets Dataverse

i

New Approach Uncovers Positive Early Voting Effects Contrasting Previous Findings
Causal Inference Elections Floridafront-doorbounds estimation2017@AJPS 2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Find Structural Breaks in Noisy Count Data—No Need to Guess How Many
Bayesian Methods Campaign Finance nonparametric methods Time Series Analysisoverdispersion2017@Pol. An.24 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

How to Do Mixed-Methods Research When Cases Aren't Independent
Crime Selection Biascase selection2017@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Long-Term Effects for Models With Temporal Dependence
2017@Pol. An.4 R files 2 Stata files 40 Datasets Dataverse

i

How to Track Influence in Incomplete Social Networks
Network Analysis Social Networksdegree centralitynetwork sampling2017@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Data Reporting Reveals a Distinct Form of Government Transparency
item response theory World Bankdata disseminationicrg2017@Pol. An.23 R files 2 Stata files 15 Datasets Dataverse

i

Who Benefits From Guessing on Political Knowledge Tests?
Bayesian Methods item response theory Measurement Error2017@Pol. An.10 R files 22 Datasets Dataverse

i

Beyond Simple Numbers: Powerful Network Analysis Techniques for Political Researchers
latent variables Network Analysisexponential random graph model ergm2017@AJPS 1 R file 7 datasets Dataverse

i

Time-Varying Fixes Often Misapplied in Duration Models
Survival Analysisproportional hazardstime-varying effectsnonproportional hazards2017@Pol. An.4 R files 10 Stata files 9 Datasets Dataverse

i

Historical Weather Reveals Bigger Uncertainty in Rainfall’s Effect on Turnout
Causal Inferencerainfallrandomization inferencevariance estimation2017@Pol. An.6 R files Dataverse

i

Newspaper Text Variation Predicts Conflict Before It Happens
Forecasting Panel Dataconflict predictionpanel regressions2017@APSR Dataverse

i

Online Social Ties Mirror Offline Relationships: Implications for Political Science Research
external validity Network Analysis Social Networks2017@APSR 8 R files 6 Stata files 19 datasets Dataverse

i

How New Matching Methods Maximize Balance and Sample Size in Causal Analysis
Matchingmatching frontiersample size optimizationbalance metrics2017@AJPS 1 R file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

How Four Simple Design Choices Make Survey Field Experiments More Efficient and Ethical
Campaigns Experimental Methods Field Experiment Survey Datasampling frameplacebo controlcanvassing2017@Pol. An.10 R files 7 Datasets Dataverse

i

Actual vs Perceived Voting Intentions: A Family Study in Belgium
belgium Voter Perception Voter Preferencespcss datasetflemish region2017@PSR&M 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Facebook Ads as a Cheap, Reliable Way to Sample Political Activists Worldwide
Social Mediasamplingactivists2017@Pol. An.6 Datasets Dataverse

i

Detecting Who Hides Sensitive Opinions: A Regression-Based Fix for List Experiments
Measurement Errormisreporting2017@Pol. An.9 R files Dataverse

i

Why Unbiased Coefficients Can Still Mislead: Transformation-Induced Bias
Conjoint Experimentstransformation biaspredicted probabilitiesmarginal effects2017@Pol. An.1 dataset Dataverse

i

How Overlapping News Sources Can Fix Underreported Event Data
Measurement Error News Media Survival Analysismaximum likelihoodevent data2017@Pol. An.11 R file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

When Absences Matter: New Tools for Asymmetric Hypotheses
asymmetryset theorylarge-nstochastic frontier analysisdata envelopment analysis deaset-theorystochastic frontierdea2017@Pol. An.6 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Split Samples Improve Power and Replication for Causal Studies, With Limits
Causal Inference Preregistrationsplit samplestatistical power2017@Pol. An.3 Stata files Dataverse

i

How Predictive Models Complement Regression in Political Research
Forecasting International Relations Machine Learningbenchmarks2017@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Unknown Delay? Here's How Political Scientists Can Still Analyze Time Lags Effectively
Bayesian Methods Time Series Analysis United States2017@PSR&M 2 datasets Dataverse

i

2016

How Multistate Survival Models Reveal Political Phase Dynamics
Survival Analysismultistate survival models2016@Pol. An.15 R files 5 Stata files 10 Datasets Dataverse

i

Bayesian Analysis Reveals Democracy's Boost on Social Spending in Latin America
Bayesian Methods Democracy Government Spending Social Policy2016@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Why More Open-Minded Thinking Can Deepen Climate Change Polarization
Political Ideologyopen-mindedness2016@R&P 1 R file 1 Stata file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Direct Questions Fall Short, But Indirect Techniques Offer Better Results
Survey Experimentsensitive questionsendorsement experimentrandomized response2016@AJPS Dataverse

i

Bridge Decisions Let Scholars Track Lawmakers Across Time and Chambers
Legislative Behavior Roll-Call Votescosponsorship2016@Pol. An.8 R files 7 Datasets Dataverse

i

When Controlling Backfires: How Fixed Effects Amplify and Unmask Bias
Experimental Methodsbias amplificationplacebo studies2016@Pol. An.2 R files 2 Stata files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Parametric Models Flawed: Inaccurate Estimates and Confidence Intervals
Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis Simulationparametric modelsstatistical inference2016@AJPS 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Binary Treatments Can Triple IV Estimates: The Hidden Bias From Coarse Measurement
Britain Measurement Error2016@Pol. An.2 R files 2 Stata files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Can Machine Learning Outpredict Logistic Regression for Civil War Onset?
civil war onsetclass imbalancerandom forestsLogistic Regressionconflict predictionpredictive methods2016@Pol. An.2 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Does Your Interaction Effect Really Need a Product Term? New Evidence on Logistic Regression
Causal Inference Logistic Regressioninteraction terminteraction testingconditional effects2016@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How to Project Data When Geographic Boundaries Change
Geocoded Data Spatial Modelsboundary changecrosswalks2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Much Is the Prior Driving Rare-Event Logistic Results?
Bayesian Methods Logistic Regressionseparation statisticaljeffreys priorpartial priorrare events2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Representative Samples Don't Guarantee Regression Estimates: A Surprising Flaw
external validityregression weights2016@AJPS 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Beyond Simple Trade-offs: A New Model for Dynamic Political Compositions
Government Spending Partisanship Time Series Analysiscompositional dataregression analysiscompositional variablesfixed-sum constraintsregression techniques2016@AJPS 3 Stata files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

How Combinatorics Exposes Sensitivity Blind Spots in QCA
computational methods Sensitivity Analysiscombinatoricsenumeration2016@Pol. An.1 R file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Balancing Equations and Fractional Integration in Dynamic Political Models
Time Series Analysisfractional integrationarfima2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Popular Error‑Correction Model Misused in Political Time Series, Study Warns
Time Series Analysisorder of integrationtime series methodssimulation studiesstatistical inference2016@Pol. An.4 Stata files 8 Datasets Dataverse

i

Faster Ideal Point Estimates with Less Wait for Political Scientists
Bayesian Methods computational methods Ideal Points Machine Learningbig datamassive data2016@APSR 140 R files 24 datasets Dataverse

i

Fractional Differencing Improves Long-Run Forecasts—Until Short Dynamics and Small Samples Intervene
Time Series Analysisfractional differencing2016@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Why Simple ADL Trumps ARFIMA for Short Fractionally Integrated Series
Time Series Analysisarfimaerror correction model2016@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Accounting for Guessing Raises Estimated Learning by 13% and Eliminates Gender Gap
Deliberation latent variablesguessinglatent classdeliberative polling2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Joint Ideological Scaling for Citizens & Elites? New Methods Address Long-Neglected Challenges
Elites Ideal Points Spatial Models US Congressestimation methodsestimation method2016@AJPS 44 R files 11 dataset Dataverse

i

Nearly Half of CIPE Results Vanish When Missing Data Is Imputed
Comparative Politics listwise deletion Political Economyreanalysis2016@Pol. An.30 R files 30 Stata files 87 Datasets Dataverse

i

Predicting Race from Voter Rolls Cuts Bias in Turnout Estimates
Bayesian Methods ecological inferencesurname list2016@Pol. An.30 R files Dataverse

i

When Randomization Isn't Best: Assign Treatments to Minimize Mean Squared Error
Causal Inference computational methods Experimental Methodsaverage treatment effectmean squared error2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Speeches, Not Votes: New Way to Map Lawmakers' Positions
Legislative Behavior Speech-as-Data2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Tactics Trump Policy: Roll Call Voting in Parliaments
Electoral Incentives2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

A More Powerful Test for Interference on Social Networks
Causal Inference Experimental Methods nonparametric methodsspillover effectsspillover2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Machine Learning Identifies Which Anti-Recidivism Policies Work in Colombia
Crime Machine Learningrecidivism2016@Pol. An.13 R files 1 Stata file 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

What If Legislatures Looked Different? Simulating Counterfactual Representation
Poststratification2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Binary Outcomes Aren't Independent—But How Do We Account for That?
Simulation Spatial Models Time Series Analysisinterdependenceprobit modelsbinary outcomes probit2016@PSR&M 4 Stata files Dataverse

i

Theory-Guided QCA Produces Conservative, Not Enhanced, Solutions
Qualitative Comparative Analysisnecessary conditionstruth table analysisboolean minimization2016@Pol. An.1 R file 21 dataset Dataverse

i

When Cheap Surveys Work: Google Consumer Surveys for Causal Experiments
Experimental Methods Survey Datagoogle consumer surveys2016@Pol. An.6 Stata files 9 Datasets Dataverse

i

Error-Correction Models Work When Time Series Are Properly Balanced
Time Series Analysisfractional integrationoverfittingstatistical powerlow power2016@Pol. An.16 R files Dataverse

i

Mixing Protected and Direct Survey Answers Shows When Sensitive Techniques Are Needed
List Experimentsindirect questioningprevalence estimationcosta ricacrosswise model2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

2015

A Practical Fix for Right-Censored Spatial Duration Data
Spatial Models Survival Analysisright censoring2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Novel Approach Tackles Autocorrelation in Repeated Cross-Sections
Multilevel Modeling Survey Data Time Series Analysisrepeated cross-sections2015@AJPS Dataverse

i

A Flawed 1969 Draft Lottery Still Functions as a Random Instrument—With Caveats
Experimental Methods Natural Experimentdraft lottery2015@Pol. An.1 Stata file 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

How to Get Robust Standard Errors With Dyadic Data
Dyadic Analysis International Relationssandwich estimatorcluster-robust standard errorscluster-robust2015@Pol. An.1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Citation Bias in IR Research Depends on Your Statistical Model, Study Finds
citationspoisson inverse gaussianstatistical specification2015@R&P 1 Stata file 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Quantitative Precision Meets Qualitative Insight in Comparative Politics
reunification2015@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Bring Multilingual Texts Into Comparative Politics With Topic Models
Text Analysisstructural topic modelmachine translationmultilingual textmultilingual2015@Pol. An.7 R files Dataverse

i

Measure Election Fraud From Digits Without P-Values
Election Fraud latent variablesdigit forensicsmixture index2015@Pol. An.2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

How ‘Zeroing’ Ongoing Years Warps Onset Estimates in Panel Data
Panel Data Survival Analysis2015@Pol. An.2 Datasets Dataverse

i

How To Spot Measurement Bias In Categorical Latent Models
latent variablesmeasurement invariancecategorical data2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

MRP Reconstructs Country Means Well but Fails on Rankings and Ranges
eurobarometercensus2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How QCA Can Produce False Positives — And a Simple Fix
Arab Countries nonparametric methodsfalse positivestype i error2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Robust Standard Errors Reveal Bigger Problems — And How to Fix Them
robust standard errorsmodel misspecificationinformation matrixstatistical softwarerobust semisspecificationsoftware2015@Pol. An.3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Hidden Voter Groups Alter What Explains Immigrant Turnout and Party Choice in Germany
Bayesian Methods Immigration latent variables nonparametric methods Voter Behavior2015@Pol. An.1 R file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

When Voters Don't Add Up: Non-Separable Preferences Change Vote Models
Spatial Models Spatial Voting Voting Behaviornonseparabilityweighted euclidean2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Non-Ignorable Non-Response: A Hidden Variable in Roll-Call Analysis?
Roll-Call Votes Selection Bias2015@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

i

RD Design Still Valid for Many Elections: A Global Comparison
Elections2015@AJPS 2 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Reconsidering Time Transforms in Political Survival Analysis
Survival Analysisoutlierscensoringoutlier times2015@AJPS Dataverse

i

Beyond Statistics: Prioritizing Real-World Significance in Political Research
practical significancepractical significance testing2015@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Survey Experiments Often Omit Conditions and Outcomes, Inflating False Positives
Measurement Errormultiple testing2015@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

New Scaling Technique Reveals Greater Ideological Polarization
ANES Bayesian Methods cooperative congressional election study item response theory2015@AJPS Dataverse

i

Three Ways Qualitative Data Enhances Quantitative Causal Inference
Africa Causal Inference Measurement Error qualitative analysis Sensitivity Analysisqualitative dataconfidence intervalsconfidence intervals effect size2015@AJPS Dataverse

i

2014

Beyond Flimsy Assertions: A Better Way to Show Variables Have No Political Impact
statistical significanceconfidence intervalsnegligible effect2014@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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Testing Political Science Theory Through Confidence Regions
American National Election Studies ANES bootstrapping Spatial Modelsmultidimensional scalingconfidence regions2014@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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List vs Endorsement Experiments Converge in Afghanistan: New Statistical Methods Validate Findings
Survey Experimentsendorsement experiments2014@AJPS 8 R files Dataverse

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PULSAR Teaches Machines to Read Human Rights Reports and Spot Judgments
International Organizationsamnesty international2014@JHR Dataverse

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Categorical Data Favor Conditional Multiple Imputation Over MVN
Multiple Imputationcategorical data2014@Pol. An.1 dataset Dataverse

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How Correcting Latent Class Bias Can Underestimate Uncertainty
latent variables Measurement Errorstandard errorsthree-step2014@Pol. An.2 Datasets Dataverse

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Attention Not Enough? Why Single Survey Screeners Fall Short in Political Studies
manipulation checks Measurement Error Survey Dataattention checks2014@AJPS 3 Stata files 8 datasets Dataverse

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Semiaautomating Survey Response Analysis
Experimental Methods Survey Data Text Analysisstructural topic modelopen-ended surveys2014@AJPS Dataverse

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Does How We Ask About Political Knowledge Matter? New Insights from Examining Time-Specific vs. General Facts
typology2014@APSR Dataverse

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2013

Why Common ANES Knowledge Scales Mislead Group Comparisons
item response theory latent variables Measurement Errormeasurement invariancedifferential item functioningconfirmatory factor analysis2013@Pol. An.5 Datasets Dataverse

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Choosing Between Average Effects and Observed-Value Estimates in Political Science Research
Causal Inferencelimited dependent variable modelsobserved value approach2013@AJPS 2 datasets Dataverse

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Deepening MRP Analysis: How Voter Turnout Changes Differ Across Complex Demographic Subgroups
Multilevel Modeling Poststratification Voter Turnoutsubgroup interactionssurvey weightingnonlinear modelingnonlinearity modeling2013@AJPS Dataverse

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How Blogs Chose Links in 2004: A Dynamic Network Logistic Choice Study
Elections Logistic Regression Network Analysis Social Media Social Networksexponential random graph models2013@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Small Country Samples: Why Bayesian Wins Over Frequentist Multilevel Models
Bayesian Methods Monte Carlo Multilevel Modeling2013@AJPS 2 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

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When Algorithms Read Politics: Promise and Pitfalls of Text-as-Data
Measurement Error Text Analysisvalidationpolitical texts2013@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2012

Surveys Misread Global Views on Democracy: How Nonsubstantive Responses Skew Results
Measurement Error Survey Data2012@PS 2 Stata files Dataverse

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2011

Connecting Micro and Macro Partisanship
2011@Pol. An.1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

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Better Policy Measurement: Log Odds-Ratio Scaling vs. Current Word Count Approaches
Ideal Points manifestos Policy Preferences Text Analysislog odds ratio2011@LSQ 2 datasets Dataverse

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Beyond Assumptions: New Paths to Causal Understanding
Causal Inferencecausal mechanismestimation algorithm2011@APSR Dataverse

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2007

Multicollinearity Mess-Up? Don't Drop Your Variables!
Simulationmulticollinearityregression modelsinteraction terms2007@SPPQ Dataverse

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When History Misleads: Detecting Model-Dependent Counterfactual Claims
counterfactual inferenceCausal Inferencemodel dependenceDemocratizationun peacebuilding2007@ISQ Dataverse

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2004

New Method Tames Roll Call Data: A Bayesian Twist on Spatial Voting Models
Roll-Call Votes Spatial Models Spatial Voting2004@APSR Dataverse

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2003

Mokken Scaling: A Nonparametric Route to Stronger Survey Measurement
mokken scalingitem response theorymonotone homogeneitydouble monotonicityworld values survey Political Behavior2003@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2002

A Simple Regression That Predicts Multiparty Vote Shares As Well As Katz‑King
Elections Party Systemskatz-king2002@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2000

This Means That: A New Model Predicts International Conflict More Accurately
International Relations Machine Learningquantitative conflict analysis2000@APSR 3 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

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1999

New Model Reveals Incumbency Advantage in British Elections is Smaller Than Thought
Elections Party Systemsstatistical modelsstatistical model1999@APSR 1 dataset Dataverse

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