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Insights from the Field

Linking Survey Items to Real Preferences: Hierarchical Models That Reveal Polarization


item response
latent preference
hierarchical IRT
polarization
hIRT
Methodology
Pol. An.
10 R files
1 text files
Dataverse
Hierarchical Item Response Models for Analyzing Public Opinion was authored by Xiang Zhou. It was published by Cambridge in Pol. An. in 2019.

🔎 What This Model Does

Presents a class of hierarchical item response models that integrate measurement and substantive analysis of multi-item opinion surveys. Individual item responses are modeled as arising from a latent preference whose mean and variance may depend on observed covariates.

🧭 How Responses Are Modeled

  • Individual responses to multiple items are treated as manifestations of a single latent preference.
  • Both the latent preference mean and its variance can be functions of observed covariates, allowing heterogeneity in levels and dispersion across groups.
  • The hierarchical structure links item-level measurement to higher-level analysis in one unified model.

📈 Advantages Compared to Two-Step Approaches

  • Reduces bias relative to the common two-step practice of first constructing a composite and then analyzing it.
  • Increases statistical efficiency in estimating relationships between covariates and latent attitudes.
  • Facilitates direct comparison across surveys that cover different sets of items.

🔬 What This Enables Researchers To Investigate

  • How preferences differ among social and demographic groups
  • Regional variation and how preferences evolve over time
  • Levels, patterns, and trends of attitude polarization
  • Degrees and patterns of ideological constraint

🛠 Software Availability

An open-source R package, hIRT, is available for fitting the proposed hierarchical item response models.

⚖️ Why It Matters

By integrating measurement and analysis, this approach yields less biased, more efficient inferences about public opinion and makes cross-survey comparisons and studies of polarization and constraint more reliable.

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