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(will be reviewed).

New Approach Uncovers Positive Early Voting Effects Contrasting Previous Findings

This paper introduces Front-door Difference-in-Differences Estimators, an extension to front-door estimators that provides identification under one-sided noncompliance and exclusion restriction, even when relaxing parallel trends assumptions. It demonstrates that these methods can recover experimental benchmarks in a job training study, while also revealing small positive turnout effects from Florida's early in-person voting program in 2008—a finding that counters recent claims of negative impacts.

Data & Methods: Combines front-door estimators with difference-in-differences framework. Demonstrates applicability through two empirical examples: a job training study and an analysis of Florida's early in-person voting policy from 2008.

Key Findings: Successfully recovers benchmarks without control units; shows positive effects for early in-person voting, challenging prior negative estimates.

Why It Matters: Offers clearer identification strategies even when standard assumptions are relaxed. Provides an independent methodological approach to evaluate policies like early voting programs.

American Journal of Political Science
Front-door Difference-in-Differences Estimators was authored by Adam Glynn and Konstantin Kashin. It was published in AJPS in 2017. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/ajps.12311
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