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Aligning Votes and Speeches Reveals Shared Ideology and Distinct Issue Signals

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๐Ÿ”ง What the Method Does

Introduces a method for scaling two datasets from different sources by estimating a latent factor common to both and idiosyncratic factors unique to each source. The approach also lets the scaled locations depend on covariates and enables efficient inference via resampling.

๐Ÿ“ How the Model Handles Data and Inference

  • Models a shared latent factor that captures the subspace common to both datasets.
  • Simultaneously estimates idiosyncratic latent factors for each dataset to capture source-specific variation.
  • Permits scaled locations to be modeled as functions of covariates to increase flexibility and interpretability.
  • Uses an efficient implementation that supports inference through resampling techniques.

๐Ÿงช Evidence from Simulations

A simulation study demonstrates that the proposed method outperforms existing alternatives in two respects:

  • Better recovery of the variation common to both datasets.
  • Improved identification of latent factors that are specific to each dataset.

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Applied Example: Votes and Speeches in the 112th U.S. Senate

  • Applied the method to roll-call voting and speech data from the 112th U.S. Senate.
  • Recovered a shared subspace that aligns with a standard ideological dimension running from liberals to conservatives.
  • Identified the words most strongly associated with each senator's position in that shared subspace.
  • Estimated a word-specific subspace that spans topics from national security to budget concerns.
  • Estimated a vote-specific subspace that places Tea Party senators at one extreme and senior committee leaders at the other.

โš–๏ธ Why It Matters

Provides a practical and flexible way to combine different data sources (e.g., text and votes) to uncover both shared political dimensions and source-specific signals, with usable inference for applied political science work.

Article card for article: Scaling Data from Multiple Sources
Scaling Data from Multiple Sources was authored by Ted Enamorado, Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma and Marc Ratkovic. It was published by Cambridge in Pol. An. in 2021.
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Political Analysis