Forecasting

Forecasting
Cluster: Research Methods
Research design and estimation techniques.
Tagged articles: 2

Aliases

prediction model

Related in Research Methods

Bayesian Methods bootstrapping Causal Inference Cohort Analysis Comparative Analysis computational methods Conjoint Experiments Content Analysis counterfactuals crowdsourcing Difference-In-Differences Dyadic Analysis ecological inference Experimental Methods external validity Field Experiment Fixed Effects Focus Groups Forecasting implicit association test Instrumental Variables Interviews item response theory Laboratory Experiment latent variables List Experiments listwise deletion Logistic Regression Machine Learning manipulation checks Matching Meta-Analysis Mixed Methods Monte Carlo Multilevel Modeling Multimethod Multiple Imputation Natural Experiment Network Analysis nonparametric methods Poststratification Preregistration qualitative analysis Qualitative Comparative Analysis random forests analysis Regression Discontinuity Replication Sensitivity Analysis Simulation Spatial Models Speech-as-Data Structural Models Survey Experiments Survival Analysis Synthetic Control Text Analysis Time Series Analysis Triple Difference

Articles Tagged "Forecasting"

Google Searches Forecast U.S. Protests More Accurately Than Twitter

Article summary

A new 'variance-in-time' method uses Google Trends (GT) to detect and forecast events by collecting multiple, overlapping GT samples over time. The algorithm leverages variation in both the mean and the variance of a search term to accommodate idiosyncrasies in the GT platform.

Collective Action Forecasting google trends2022@Pol. An.12 R files 3 Stata files 270 datasets Dataverse

Political Instability Prediction Model's Accuracy Declined After 2004

Article summary

This article re-examines the predictive model of state-level political instability developed by Goldstone et al. (2010). While their model accurately identified institutional factors, particularly factionalism in partial democracies, as key drivers during its original validation period (1995-2004), this accuracy has significantly decreased since then.

Democracy Forecasting2020@BJPS 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse