Article summary
Public willingness to compromise is often described as a necessary precursor to conflict resolution. Alon Yakter and Liran Harsgor take on a central debate: do changing expectations about the prospects for peace cause people to become more willing to make concessions, or do prior ideological commitments shape biased forecasts about the future? Resolving this question matters for how policymakers and mediators should try to build public support for peace deals.