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Insights from the Field

Birth Order Shapes Political Engagement: New Insights from Register Data


birth order
voter turnout
register data
Sweden
Norway
Voting and Elections
BJPS
13 Stata files
2 text files
Dataverse
Birth Order and Voter Turnout was authored by Bernt Bratsberg, Christopher T. Dawes, Andreas Kotsadam, Karl-Oskar Lindgren, Richard Öhrvall, Sven Oskarsson and Oddbjørn Raaum. It was published by Cambridge in BJPS in 2022.

New research explores how birth order influences voter turnout, a factor previously overlooked in political participation studies.

Using unique population-wide register data from Sweden and Norway, the study finds that higher birth order correlates with lower turnout rates.

This effect appears consistent across four non-Nordic countries as well.

Key Findings:

  • Lower voter turnout increases significantly with later birth order;
  • The difference in turnout between first-borns and younger siblings is more pronounced at low-turnout levels;
  • This pattern emerges despite variations in family structures and socioeconomic backgrounds.

Mechanism:

The effect seems to be partly mediated by:

  • Socio-economic position;
  • Attitudinal predispositions toward political engagement.

This nuanced understanding of how family dynamics shape political behavior expands the conceptual frameworks for analyzing electoral participation.

data
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British Journal of Political Science
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