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More ISDS Claims But Less Impact? FDI Not Significantly Affected By Average Lawsuits


investor state dispute settlement
isds
foreign direct investment
fdi
regression analysis
us
International Relations
BJPS
1 Stata files
1 datasets
Dataverse
Do Investor-State Disputes (Still) Harm FDI? was authored by Andrew Kerner and Krzysztof Pelc. It was published by Cambridge in BJPS in 2022.

Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) has proliferated, yet average claims contain less information than before. This study examines 812 disputes from 1987 to present.

Historical Context: Fewer ISDS cases succeeded in the past compared to recent years.

Current Trends: More claims now involve indirect expropriation or fair and equitable treatment allegations, but have lower success rates due to reduced information content.

Methodology & Findings: Analyzing firms' risk perceptions across two datasets reveals mixed effects on FDI. Direct expropriation cases still impact investment slightly, but less than historically.

Implications for Reputation Theory: The findings suggest reputational harm from ISDS claims has diminished over time, challenging conventional wisdom about these disputes.

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