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Did Political Fragmentation Kill the Medieval Silk Road? Economic Impact on China's Chang'an and Muslim East Centers

The Silk Roads connected Eurasia for centuries. This historical network transported high-value goods between China and the Muslim East, fostering trade hubs like Chang'an and Aleppo. How did political fragmentation along these routes affect city growth?

Data & Methods: Using historical records of major cities affected by trade route stability.

Trade route disruptions had serious consequences:

  • Negative Effects: Major urban centers suffered significantly when the cross-regional Silk Road trade was interrupted due to political fragmentation.
  • Specific Impact: The study shows how instability specifically damaged growth in key termini like Chang'an and Aleppo during medieval/early modern periods.

This research provides crucial insights: it demonstrates how pre-modern international systems operated historically, linking economic outcomes directly to the stability of trade connections between China and Muslim East.

American Journal of Political Science
Trade and Political Fragmentation on the Silk Roads: The Economic Effects of Historical Exchange between China and the Muslim East was authored by Lisa Blaydes and Christopher Paik. It was published in AJPS in 2021. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/ajps.12541
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