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New Insight: Policy Locking Doesn't Fit Election-Focused Governments
Insights from the Field
electoral incentives
policy commitment
independent central banks
successor restraint
Comparative Politics
PSR&M
3 Stata files
2 images
1 text files
2 LaTeX files
Dataverse
The Electoral Costs of Policy Commitments was authored by Timm Betz. It was published by Cambridge in PSR&M in 2020.

Existing arguments suggest parties use domestic and international institutions to lock in policy preferences by restricting successors. This paper argues that these views overlook the incentives of office-seeking parties.

Core Argument:

There's a tension between implementing policy commitments after winning office and strategically exploiting partisan differences ahead of elections. Locking in policies prevents future debates but hinders electoral success.

Policy Example: Independent Central Banks (ICBs)

This trade-off is explored through the lens of ICB establishment, where parties commit to strict monetary policy rules.

Key Finding: Office-seeking parties have a disincentive for tying successors' hands because it undermines their ability to leverage partisan differences in future elections. This "this means that" style finding suggests traditional institutional locking arguments are incomplete.

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Political Science Research & Methods
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