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New Insight: Policy Locking Doesn't Fit Election-Focused Governments

Electoral IncentivesPolicy CommitmentIndependent Central BanksSuccessor RestraintComparative PoliticsPSR&M3 Stata filesDataverse

Existing arguments suggest parties use domestic and international institutions to lock in policy preferences by restricting successors. This paper argues that these views overlook the incentives of office-seeking parties.

Core Argument:

There's a tension between implementing policy commitments after winning office and strategically exploiting partisan differences ahead of elections. Locking in policies prevents future debates but hinders electoral success.

Policy Example: Independent Central Banks (ICBs)

This trade-off is explored through the lens of ICB establishment, where parties commit to strict monetary policy rules.

Key Finding: Office-seeking parties have a disincentive for tying successors' hands because it undermines their ability to leverage partisan differences in future elections. This "this means that" style finding suggests traditional institutional locking arguments are incomplete.

Article Card
The Electoral Costs of Policy Commitments was authored by Timm Betz. It was published by Cambridge in PSR&M in 2020.
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Political Science Research & Methods
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