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Complex Trade Deal Sparks Protests Despite Favorable Economics: Survey Experiment Reveals Transparency's Crucial Role
Insights from the Field
Transparency
Democratic Decision-Making
Survey Experiment
Policy Evaluation
Political Behavior
PSR&M
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Dataverse
Wheeling and Dealing Behind Closed Doors: Estimating the Causal Effect of Transparency on Policy Evaluations Using a Survey Experiment was authored by Sebastian Juhl and David Hilpert. It was published by Cambridge in PSR&M in 2021.

The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) negotiations between the EU and US were highly technical, yet provoked widespread protests with diverse socioeconomic backgrounds. We contend that transparency in these complex processes was a key factor driving public mobilization. Using survey experiments, we demonstrate a causal link: non-transparent decision-making significantly reduces citizens' appraisal of trade agreements independently of their economic consequences. Specifically, our findings reveal that transparent negotiations increase the likelihood of receiving public approval by nearly 16 percent compared to identical opaque agreements. This research underscores the importance of transparency in democratic policy evaluation processes.

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Political Science Research & Methods
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