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How One Weekend of Deliberation Changed Voting a Year Later
Insights from the Field
deliberation
political engagement
mini-publics
field experiment
voting behavior
Political Behavior
APSR
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Can Deliberation Have Lasting Effects? was authored by James Fishkin, Valentin Bolotnyy, Joshua Lerner, Alice Siu and Norman Bradburn. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2024.

🔎 What Was Tested

This article asks whether a concentrated deliberative experience can produce lasting political effects. The case is "America in One Room," a national field experiment that brought together more than 500 randomly selected registered voters from across the United States to deliberate about five major national issues.

đź“‹ How Participants Were Studied

  • A nationally recruited group of more than 500 registered voters participated in a weekend deliberative event focused on five major issues.
  • A pre-post control group was surveyed on the same questions immediately after the weekend and again about one year later.
  • Outcomes included self-reported voting intentions and verified actual voting behavior one year after the intervention.

✨ Key Findings

  • Deliberators showed significant differences in both voting intentions and actual voting behavior one year after the event compared to the control group.
  • These downstream differences are best explained by an increase in a latent variable identified as political engagement: the deliberative experience appears to have stimulated deeper engagement that persisted over time.

đź§­ Why This Matters

  • If deliberation produces durable increases in political engagement, it provides a substantive rationale for efforts to scale deliberative processes beyond isolated events.
  • The article evaluates options for scaling and situates those proposals within the broader debate over mini-publics—deliberative pockets embedded in an otherwise non-deliberative society—highlighting tensions between impactful small-group deliberation and ambitions for wider civic reach.
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