FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   ANALYZE DATA: Help with R | SPSS | Stata | Excel   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | Int'l Relations | Law & Courts
   FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | IR | Law & Courts
If this link is broken, please report as broken. You can also submit updates (will be reviewed).
Indian District Officers Cut 1918 Flu Deaths by 15 Percentage Points
Insights from the Field
Bureaucracy
Representation
1918 Influenza
India
Natural experiment
Asian Politics
RESTAT
6 Stata files
3 Datasets
1 Text
Dataverse
Bureaucratic Representation and State Responsiveness During Times of Crisis: The 1918 Pandemic in India was authored by Guo Xu. It was published by MIT Press in RESTAT in 2023.

📊 Linking Officials to Mortality Records (1910–1925)

Personnel records were combined with vital-statistics data spanning 1910–1925 to measure mortality outcomes across 1,271 Indian towns during the 1918 influenza pandemic.

  • Data sources: district personnel files and town-level vital statistics for 1910–1925
  • Sample: 1,271 towns across British India

🔎 Identification Strategy: Officer Rotation and Cross-Border Comparison

Causal inference leverages the rotation of senior colonial officers across districts and a cross-border comparison between areas led by Indian versus British district officers to isolate the effect of bureaucratic representation on mortality.

  • Exploits plausibly exogenous rotations of senior officials across districts
  • Adds a cross-border comparison to contrast outcomes under Indian versus British district leadership

📈 Key Findings

Bureaucratic representation substantially altered pandemic outcomes and relief responses.

  • Towns headed by Indian (rather than British) district officers experienced 15 percentage points lower deaths
  • The mortality reduction extended beyond urban centers into surrounding areas
  • The lower mortality coincided with greater responsiveness in relief provision in areas led by Indian officers

⚖️ Why It Matters

The evidence shows that who holds bureaucratic posts can materially change state performance in crises: bureaucratic representation emerged as a powerful mechanism for increasing state responsiveness during the 1918 pandemic, with implications for how administrative staffing shapes public-health and disaster responses.

data
Find on Google Scholar
Find on JSTOR
MIT Press
RESTAT
Podcast host Ryan