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Insights from the Field

How Leftist Victories Reflect Voter Views Across Latin America


ideology
joint scaling
Latin America
representation
surveys
Latin American Politics
Pol. An.
6 Datasets
6 Text
Dataverse
Using Joint Scaling Methods to Study Ideology, and Representation: Evidence from Latin America was authored by Sebastian Saiegh. It was published by Cambridge in Pol. An. in 2015.

🔎 What was measured and how:

This study applies joint scaling methods to comparable items from three large-scale surveys to place voters, parties, and politicians from multiple Latin American countries onto a single, common ideological space. The common-space approach enables direct comparison of political actors across disparate surveys and national contexts.

📊 How the common space was built:

  • Joint scaling techniques were used on similar survey items drawn from three large-scale cross-national surveys.
  • The scaling locates voters, parties, and political leaders together on one ideological dimension, allowing cross-country comparison.
  • Country coverage includes multiple Latin American cases, with specific analysis highlighting Brazil, Mexico, and Peru.

📈 Key findings:

  • Ideology is a significant determinant of vote choice across Latin America.
  • The electoral success of leftist leaders corresponds to the preferences of the voters who support them — leftist victories reflect voter views rather than a mere elite takeover.
  • Parties and leaders form three distinct clusters on the common scale: a left cluster, a center cluster, and a right cluster.
  • Legislators in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru are generally positioned to the left of their national electorates, indicating a leftward tilt among legislators relative to voters.
  • The observed ideological drift of legislators, however, is not large enough to substantiate the claim that a disconnect between voters and politicians explains the success of leftist presidents in these countries.

🔍 Why this matters:

  • Using a common-space scale is crucial for valid comparisons of ideology and representation across countries and surveys.
  • Findings challenge interpretations that attribute leftist presidential success to elite-voter disconnect and call into question recent studies of Latin American politics that do not adequately account for cross-survey comparability.
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