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Insights from the Field

Property Taxes & Political Behavior: How Fiscal Policy Shapes Votes in Brazil


property taxation
brazil
fiscal policy
electoral incentives
Latin American Politics
JOP
1 other files
Dataverse
The Politics of Property Taxation: Fiscal Infrastructure and Electoral Incentives in Brazil was authored by Francisco Garfias and Darin Christensen. It was published by Chicago in JOP in 2021.

This study investigates how property taxation policies influence electoral incentives and voting behavior. By analyzing municipal-level data from Brazilian states between 2005-2018, we demonstrate that changes to local tax structures significantly impact political competition.

Data & Methods:

We utilize detailed voter registration records alongside municipal financial datasets collected over a decade (2005–2018).

* Our primary data source tracks property tax reforms across Brazilian municipalities

* We analyze patterns in voter turnout and candidate spending as response variables

Key Findings:

• Increases in residential property taxes lead to heightened political competition in affected areas

• Wealthier residents respond by increasing campaign contributions during periods of tax hikes

• The findings suggest that fiscal policy design creates tangible incentives for electoral politics at the local level

Why It Matters:

These results provide crucial insights into how seemingly technical tax policies can become politicized. They highlight a previously overlooked mechanism through which property rights frameworks influence democratic processes in developing nations.

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