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Insights from the Field

Brazil's 'New Middle Class' Isn't What It Appears


Brazil
middle class
household survey
consumption
social class
Latin American Politics
BPSR
1 Datasets
Dataverse
The Elusive New Middle Class in Brazil was authored by Celia Lessa Kerstenetzky, Christiane Uchôa and Nelson do Valle Silva. It was published by in BPSR in 2015.

Against a backdrop of falling global and Brazilian poverty, the social profile of households labeled the “new middle class” is reassessed using consumption-based standards of living.

📊 What the study looked at

  • Used standards-of-living indicators drawn from the 2008–2009 Survey on Family Budgets (POF/IBGE).
  • Identified households that emerged from poverty and have been classified, on income grounds, as part of a “new middle class.”

🔎 Key findings

  • The set of households identified as the new middle class is markedly heterogeneous.
  • Contrary to assumptions based on average income measures, the majority of these households show consumption patterns much closer to economically vulnerable or outright poor strata than to traditionally defined middle-class households.

💡 What this implies for classification and policy

  • From a sociological perspective that requires criteria beyond income to identify social classes, labeling this group a “new middle class” is a category mistake.
  • This misclassification is likely consequential for policy priorities and choices, since programs designed for a stable middle class may miss the needs of households whose living standards remain precarious.

Why it matters: Accurate social classification matters for targeting social policy, understanding inequality trends, and interpreting political behavior tied to socio-economic status.

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Brazilian Political Science Review
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