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How Antiparty Sentiment Helped Drive Bolsonaro’s 2018 Vote

🔎 Background and Research Question

The study examines how antipetismo—the Brazilian rejection of the Workers’ Party—expanded into a broader antipartisanship that targeted a wider set of parties and became associated with political intolerance. The core question is whether this generalized antipartisanship helps explain support for Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil’s 2018 presidential election.

📊 What Data and Design Were Used

  • Data source: Barometer of the Americas (LAPOP), 2018/2019 wave.
  • Approach: Statistical tests on survey measures capturing antipetismo, antipartisanship, attitudes toward mainstream parties, and indicators of political intolerance.

📌 Key Findings

  • Antipetismo expanded into generalized antipartisanship that accommodated multiple party targets rather than focusing only on the Workers’ Party.
  • There is a growing association between antipartisanship and political intolerance.
  • Voting for Bolsonaro in 2018 was strongly related to both antipetismo and negative attitudes toward mainstream political parties, with especially strong effects when those attitudes were intense.
  • Antipartisanship in its varied forms emerged as a relevant phenomenon and played a major role in shaping electoral choices in 2018, particularly the Bolsonaro vote.

⚖️ Why It Matters

  • Shows that rejection of parties beyond a single target can reshape voter behavior and bolster anti-establishment candidates.
  • Signals that rising antiparty sentiment combined with intolerance poses challenges for democratic competition and party-system stability.
Brazilian Political Science Review
From Antipetismo to Generalized Antipartisanship: The Impact of Rejection of Political Parties on the 2018 Vote for Bolsonaro was authored by Ednaldo Ribeiro, Julian Borba and Mario Fuks. It was published in BPSR in 2021. Find on Google Scholar10.1590/1981-3821202100010003
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