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How Shorter Travel Times to Capitals Boosted Development in Africa

🗺️ A New Proxy for State Reach

Travel time to national and regional capitals is used as a proxy for local state capacity. Comprehensive panel data were constructed to capture how changes in physical access to state centers shaped development across Africa.

📊 How the Measure Was Mapped (1966–2016)

  • A yearly 5 × 5 km grid covering African territory was created for 1966–2016.
  • Time-varying data on roads and administrative boundaries were used to compute travel times to both national and regional capitals for every grid cell.

🔎 What Outcomes Were Tested

  • Local education provision
  • Infant mortality rates
  • Nightlight emissions (as a proxy for economic activity)

📈 Key Findings

  • Within the same location, decreases in travel times to capitals are robustly associated with better development outcomes.
  • Shorter travel times correlate with improved education provision, lower infant mortality rates, and higher nightlight emissions.

⚖️ Why This Matters

  • Provides a fine-grained, time-varying measure of state reach that advances measurement of state capacity.
  • Connects changes in physical access to state centers with concrete improvements in human welfare, offering a clearer link between state infrastructure, administrative reach, and development outcomes.
Political Science Research & Methods
State Reach and Development in Africa Since the 1960s: New Data and Analysis was authored by Carl Müller-Crepon. It was published in PSR&M in 2023. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/psrm.2021.60
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