Does birth order affect political candidacy success despite media bias towards first-borns?

Introduction:

Exploring how later-born siblings challenge dominant party narratives.

The Problem:

Political parties often assume only their top-downstream candidates matter, but new research suggests otherwise.

This study examines if and how birth order influences political candidacy outcomes in the face of media bias against non-top candidates.

Methodology & Data:

Analyzing campaign strategies across multiple election cycles using survey data from 2018–2023.

Comparing media coverage patterns with actual polling results nationwide (US).

Findings:

Later-born candidates often bypass traditional media gatekeepers through direct engagement.

Both top and non-top siblings secure significant support despite apparent media bias;

their success varies based on messaging adaptation, not just visibility metrics.

Implications:

Campaign strategies must consider both types of candidates;

media's focus on first-borns may misrepresent the true electoral landscape.