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Trade Exposure Makes High-Pollution Sectors More Likely to Oppose Climate Agreements

This article challenges assumptions about how domestic politics shape international climate cooperation. Using new data from UN negotiations, I demonstrate that a sector's trade exposure plays a crucial role in determining firm-level opposition to climate agreements—especially when pollution levels are high.

  • Key finding: Trade-exposed industries with high emissions strongly oppose climate regulations due to absorption costs and competitive pressures.
  • Country analysis shows strong correlations between government preferences for cooperation and national reliance on tradable high-emission sectors.
  • This research reveals that sectoral dynamics outweigh simple cost-benefit calculations in environmental policymaking.
International Studies Quarterly
Sectors, Pollution, and Trade: How Industrial Interests Shape Domestic Positions on Global Climate Agreements was authored by Federica Genovese. It was published in ISQ in 2019. Find on Google Scholar10.1093/isq/sqz062
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