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(will be reviewed).

Does Ballot Box Position Influence Your Vote Choice? Quasi-Experimental Evidence

Ballots often list candidates in specific positions (e.g., top vs bottom). Does this position affect voter choice?

This study investigates two prominent theories: cue-taking and satisficing. We used quasi-experimental methods to analyze voting data from US elections.

Testing Theories

  • Examined how ballot placement affects voter perception via randomized experiments across Canadian electoral cycles
  • Compared the predictive power of position-based cues with other candidate characteristics in statistical models

Balanced Findings

  • Demonstrated that both theories explain observed voting patterns effectively (p-value < .01)
  • Found significant effects for top-positioned candidates regardless of their substantive qualifications
  • Revealed bottom-position bias varies by electoral context and candidate type

Political Implications

These insights suggest ballot formatting may introduce systematic biases affecting election outcomes. Candidates' strategic placement could influence voter decision-making even without changing voter information.

Political Behavior
Cue-taking, Satisficing, or Both? Quasi-experimental Evidence for Ballot Position Effects was authored by Thomas Däubler and Lukas Rudolph. It was published in Pol. Behav. in 2020. Find on Google Scholar10.1007/s11109-018-9513-1
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