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Assassins Who Leak vs Whistleblowers? Explaining Decline in Mediation
Insights from the Field
Mediation Theory
Armed Conflicts Dataset
Quantitative Analysis
Terror Listing
Political Behavior
R&P
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Whistleblowing or Leaking? Public Opinion toward Assange, Manning, and Snowden was authored by Michael Touchton, Casey Klofstad, Jonathan West and Joseph Uscinski. It was published by Sage in R&P in 2020.

This article examines a puzzle: why do more available mediators see fewer armed conflicts receive mediation between 1989 and 2013?

Finding️ Analysis shows this isn't due to conflicts becoming more fragmented, intractable or internationalized.

The decline is explained by:

  • A mismatch between supply (more mediators) and demand (fewer conflict opportunities)
  • The rise of Islamist armed conflicts since 2001
  • Increased use of terror-listing that excludes these conflicts from mediation possibilities

Why It Matters️ This challenges the notion that post-Cold War mediation rates were high.

The findings suggest international mediation needs adaptation to remain relevant in today's conflict landscape.

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