FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   ANALYZE DATA: Help with R | SPSS | Stata | Excel   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | Int'l Relations | Law & Courts
   FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | IR | Law & Courts
If this link is broken, please report as broken. You can also submit updates (will be reviewed).
Global Competition's Local Impact: How Trade Pressures Fueled Brexit
Insights from the Field
Brexit Referendum
Economic Globalization
Import Competition
UK Regions
European Politics
APSR
4 Stata files
1 text files
1 PDF files
Dataverse
Global Competition and Brexit was authored by Italo Colantone and Piero Stanig. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2018.

### Introduction

Support for leaving the European Union in the 2016 referendum was significantly higher in U.K. regions most severely affected by economic globalization, particularly the import surge from China.

### Global Trade Pressures

* The study attributes Brexit vote variation primarily to trade pressures, specifically focusing on increased imports from China over three decades.

* These trade shocks negatively impacted regional economic performance and fueled political discontent leading to a higher likelihood of voting Leave in the referendum.

### The Displacement Effect

* Using an instrumental variables approach, the analysis suggests this effect stems from job displacement caused by import competition.

* Importantly, overall immigrant stocks or general inflows were not associated with Brexit support; only immigrants specifically from EU accession countries showed a statistically significant positive link to Leave votes.

### Sociotropic Response

* When analyzing individual-level data, the findings indicate voters reacted to economic shocks in an aggregated (sociotropic) manner.

* This means regional residents voted based on their perception of overall economic conditions and job losses attributable to globalization, even if they themselves were not directly affected.

### Why It Matters

This research provides crucial empirical insights into how international trade dynamics shape domestic political outcomes in advanced economies.

data
Find on Google Scholar
Find on JSTOR
Find on CUP
American Political Science Review
Podcast host Ryan