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Repression's Paradox: How Moscow's Famine Strategy Shaped Loyalty in Ukraine
Insights from the Field
coercion
collective punishment
Ukraine
longitudinal analysis
political behavior
Moscow loyalty
Comparative Politics
APSR
10 R files
3 datasets
1 text files
Dataverse
Mass Repression and Political Loyalty: Evidence from Stalin's 'Terror by Hunger' was authored by Arturas Rozenas and Yuri Zhukov. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2019.

Stalin's coercive agricultural policy, known as 'Terror by Hunger,' caused widespread starvation in Ukraine during 1932-1934. This study investigates its political legacy using micro-level data on eight decades of local behavior.

### Data & Methods

* Eight decades (post-1950s) of rich micro-level data tracking local communities' political actions.

* Analysis focuses specifically on Ukraine's response to the famine policy.

### Key Findings

* Under Threat: Communities exposed to famine exhibited greater loyalty toward Moscow when faced with credible repression threats later.

* Without Threat: When Moscow could no longer credibly threaten retribution, these communities showed more opposition than comparable areas.

### Why It Matters

This research demonstrates the dual impact of mass repression:

* It can deter dissent through credible punishment mechanisms.

* But lack of ongoing threat allows past victims to express latent opposition later.

The famine in Ukraine thus serves as a powerful case study illustrating how extreme coercive policies shape long-term political behavior, revealing that repressive tactics themselves may not be the only source of political loyalty.

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