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How Rising Public Punitiveness Drives Mass Incarceration in America

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The U.S. imprisons a higher proportion of its population than any country in the world—a trend driven by an increasingly punitive public.

New Measure of Punitiveness: A novel index tracks growing public support for tough-on-crime policies since 1953.

Key Findings: Regression analysis shows this public opinion is a fundamental driver of incarceration rate increases, controlling for crime rates, drug use trends, inequality levels, and party dominance. If punitiveness hadn't risen mid-century, U.S. imprisonment could have been 20% lower.

Policy Lag: Congressional attention data confirms that the public's punitive attitudes precede policy changes.

Article card for article: The Public's Increasing Punitiveness and Its Influence on Mass Incarceration in the United States
The Public's Increasing Punitiveness and Its Influence on Mass Incarceration in the United States was authored by Peter K. Enns. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2014.
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American Journal of Political Science