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Ghana Legislative Primaries: A Surprising Boost for Opposition Candidates
Insights from the Field
Clientelism
Ghana
Primaries
Representation
African Politics
AJPS
5 R files
1 PDF files
8 text files
Dataverse
Do Primaries Improve Electoral Performance? Clientelism and Intra-Party Conflict in Ghana was authored by Nahomi Ichino and Noah Nathan. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2013.

How do legislative primaries affect electoral performance? This question is examined through a novel lens in the context of Ghana's new democracy. Existing theories suggest primaries may hurt parties by selecting extremists or help them choose high-valence candidates, but these mechanisms are challenged where clientelism is prominent.

Drawing on original data from Ghana, this study proposes that intra-party conflict plays a crucial role. The findings reveal an unexpected pattern: legislative primaries actually helped opposition parties and hindered the ruling party in the subsequent legislative election. This partisan divide was not limited to Ghana alone; similar spillover effects were observed in presidential elections.

The evidence shows:

  • A primary bonus (improved performance) for opposition candidates
  • A primary penalty (worsened performance) for ruling party candidates
  • Spillover impacts influencing presidential outcomes as well
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American Journal of Political Science
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