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Simple Numbers Shape International Policy

Numerical indicators in reports like the U.S. Trafficking in Persons Report influence state behavior by creating social pressure to conform. This study examines how including countries in these rankings encourages them to criminalize human trafficking. Using comparative analysis, we find that being featured or placed on a watch list significantly increases the likelihood of such legal changes.

Methodology:

  • Analyzed U.S. Trafficking in Persons Report data from 2013-2022
  • Tracked human trafficking criminalization legislation across multiple countries
  • Employed quantitative methods to establish causality

Key Findings:

  • Countries appearing in the annual report are more likely to adopt stricter anti-trafficking laws.
  • Countries designated on a 'watch list' also show higher rates of legal change.

Why This Matters:

These findings highlight how soft power mechanisms through data dissemination can drive global policy reform. They offer concrete evidence that monitoring systems used in international relations have tangible consequences for state compliance.

American Journal of Political Science
Politics by Number: Indicators As Social Pressure in International Relations was authored by Judith Kelley and Beth Simmons. It was published in AJPS in 2015. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/ajps.12119
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