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New Study Finds @realDonaldTrump's Mexico Tweets Significantly Impact Peso Volatility

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Podcast host Ryan
Trump_tweets
Peso_volatility
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American Politics
AJPS
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Dataverse
Does the @realDonaldTrump Really Matter to Financial Markets? was authored by Allyson L. Benton and Andrew Q. Philips. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2020.

Financial markets react strongly to new information about government policy direction and resolve.

Market Sensitivity: This study argues that tweets from U.S. President Donald J. Trump regarding Mexico significantly affected financial markets, specifically increasing Mexican peso volatility.

The Tweet Effect: The analysis focuses on็‰นๆœ—ๆ™ฎ's Mexico-related tweets during his presidency, demonstrating how these communications influenced investor behavior by signaling policy resolve.

Social Media Signal: Using data on Trump_tweets and the U.S.-Mexico exchange rate, researchers find that social media allows investors to quickly assess both a president's likely policy direction and their commitment level.

This research highlights an important function of digital communication in modern finance: providing real-time insights into presidential resolve.

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American Journal of Political Science