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Childhood Economic Exposure Sparks Adult Voting Behavior: A Norwegian Natural Experiment
Insights from the Field
Economic Boom
Rogaland
Voting Behavior
Difference-In-Differences
Voting and Elections
BJPS
2 Stata files
Dataverse
The Effect of a Booming Local Economy in Early Childhood on the Propensity to Vote: Evidence from a Natural Experiment was authored by Henning Finseraas. It was published by Cambridge in BJPS in 2017.

This study investigates how early childhood exposure to economic booms affects adult voting propensity, using the oil discovery in Rogaland as a natural experiment. It finds that children whose families benefited from this boom were approximately 4 percentage points more likely to vote when they reached adulthood compared to peers not exposed to such economic changes.

Exploiting the cohort-based design, the research isolates the effect of family income on voting behavior without conflating it with other parental characteristics. The difference-in-differences method reveals a significant increase in electoral engagement among these individuals.

Beyond financial factors alone, two additional mechanisms likely contributed to this finding: increased public spending by local governments and shifts in peer political behaviors within affected communities.

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British Journal of Political Science
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