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Rebel Diplomacy on Social Media Didn't Fail - It Succeeded by Ignoring Conventional Wisdom

This article examines how rebel organizations in civil conflicts can leverage social media to project a favorable image and gain international support. Focusing on the Libyan civil war, we analyze the rebels' diplomatic efforts during their campaign for US backing.

Data & Methods: Twitter data was collected from rebel accounts during key conflict periods.

We analyzed message content by examining two crucial elements:

  • Clarity of Regime Vision: Whether messages clearly stated the desired post-conflict government.
  • Emphasis on Government Atrocities: How prominently rebels highlighted human rights abuses by Gadhafi's regime.

Key Findings: Our analysis reveals that effective social media diplomacy for rebels requires:

  • ✅ Emphasizing government atrocities to gain sympathy and condemnation from international actors
  • ✅ Clearly articulating the type of post-conflict regime they intend to establish

When these conditions are met, rebel messages significantly increase cooperation with Western governments.

Why It Matters: This research demonstrates how social media serves as a powerful tool for image projection in modern asymmetric conflicts. The findings highlight an unexpected strategy rebels can employ - bypassing traditional diplomatic channels through targeted online messaging.

British Journal of Political Science
A Manifesto, in 140 Characters or Fewer: Social Media As a Tool of Rebel Diplomacy was authored by Benjamin T. Jones and Eleonora Mattiacci. It was published in BJPS in 2019. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0007123416000612
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