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Insights from the Field

Does Geographic Targeting Explain MPs' Strategic Use of CDF Projects in Kenya?


Geographic Targeting Hypothesis
Kenya Constituency Development Fund Projects
Spatial Segregation of Supporters
MPs Strategic Project Allocation
African Politics
APSR
32 R files
1 datasets
3 other files
11 archives
1 text files
Dataverse
(Under What Conditions) Do Politicians Reward Their Supporters? Evidence From Kenya's Constituencies Development Fund was authored by J. Andrew Harris and Daniel N Posner. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2019.

This article examines the Constituency Development Fund projects across Kenya's constituencies.

Data & Methods from Kenya's CDF Project Locations: We analyzed geo-locations of over 32,000 CDF projects. Data included population density, poverty rates, ethnic demographics, and road access controls.

Key Findings on MP Support Patterns:

• MPs showed no significant geographic bias toward rewarding allies in project placement

• Cross-constituency targeting varied significantly based on spatial distribution of supporters vs opponents

• Geographic factors alone could not explain most observed patterns

Why It Matters for African Politics:

This challenges the common belief about clientelism's role. We demonstrate how local conditions shape political incentives while highlighting both benefits and limitations of granular data analysis.

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