The entry of radical parties into parliament leads voters toward ideological extremes. A panel study of Dutch voters confirmed immediate polarization after the 2002 election following a radical-right party's rise to power.
Data & Methods:
Eurobarometer data from 17 countries (1973-2016) was analyzed using time-series cross-sectional models. This approach revealed long-term impacts of parliamentary presence on polarization across multiple nations.
Key Findings:
* Voters exhibit divergence immediately after radical parties enter parliament, moving toward the political extremes despite existing societal conflict.
* The rise of a radical-right party in the Netherlands resulted in significant voter polarization shortly post-election.
* This initial shift solidifies over time due to sustained parliamentary presence of such voices.
Why It Matters:
This research demonstrates how institutional recognition can amplify political divergence across Europe. The findings suggest that parties' entry into government may accelerate electoral polarization by signaling its legitimacy.
| Do Voters Polarize When Radical Parties Enter Parliament? was authored by Daniel Bischof and Markus Wagner. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2019. |
