The authors study how members of regional cabinets in Italy move between levels of government or leave politics, using an original dataset to test whether political‑institutional or personal factors shape those career trajectories. The study focuses on ordinary‑statute Italian regions and compares upward moves (to national or European posts), downward moves (to provincial or municipal offices) and exits from politics.
Original dataset of 721 RCMs Multinomial regression analysis Focus on Italy’s regionalization process
Data and methods
The analysis uses an original dataset covering 721 regional cabinet members (RCMs) in Italy’s ordinary statute regions. The authors model post‑tenure outcomes with multinomial regression to compare three categories of movement: upward (national and/or European positions), backward toward local offices (provincial or municipal), or exit from politics. The abstract identifies political–institutional, career‑history and individual covariates as predictors.
Main findings
The authors report that both political–institutional and individual factors are associated with RCMs’ movements. In particular, having a previous national career is associated with upward movements, while being a technician or an independent is associated with exiting politics.
- Previous national career favors upward moves to national/European positions.
- Being a technician or independent favors exit from politics.
Scope and qualifications
Results come from multinomial regression on the described Italian regional sample; the abstract frames these as associations without claiming causal identification and notes that both institutional and individual factors matter.
