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(will be reviewed).

How Chinese NGOs’ project locations align with government development initiatives

This paper asks whether and how Chinese nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) site their international development projects in ways that mirror state-led initiatives. Using a unique panel dataset, the authors present the first empirical investigation of location choices by NGOs from an authoritarian state and evaluate whether NGOs follow government-financed projects and political ties when choosing where to operate. The study’s contribution is a descriptive, time-sensitive account of alignment between Chinese government projects and Chinese NGO activity rather than a causal claim beyond the evidence reported.

Unique panel dataset Government-financed aid measure Political affinity (shared socialist legacy)

Data and methods

The authors analyze a unique panel dataset of Chinese NGO projects and cross-country measures of Chinese government-financed aid and political affinity. The abstract identifies temporal dynamics in the relationship, indicating the analysis tracks effects over time (reporting an estimate window of years). Specific model types are not listed in the abstract, so the brief reports only the dataset scope and the temporal focus the authors describe.

Main findings

The abstract reports that Chinese NGOs tend to place more projects in countries with (1) greater Chinese government-financed aid and development projects and (2) higher cross-country political affinity linked to shared socialist legacies. The authors also describe temporal dynamics: the association between government projects and NGO initiatives is strongest in the first five years and declines afterward.

  • NGOs place relatively more projects where Chinese government-financed aid and development projects are more numerous.
  • NGOs locate more projects in countries with greater political affinity tied to shared socialist legacies.
  • The alignment effect peaks within about five years and attenuates over time.

These statements are reported as the authors’ empirical descriptions from their panel dataset; the abstract frames them as observed associations with temporal patterns rather than definitive causal mechanisms.

Perspectives on Politics
Replication Data for Following the Dragon: Understanding Chinese NGOs’ Location Choices in Global Development Initiatives was authored by Hui Li and Shui Yan Tang. It was published in POP in 2026. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/s1537592726104368
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