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When Better Bureaucracies Help Cronies Win Government Contracts

🔎 What This Paper Asks

This paper draws a sharp distinction between political control of a bureaucracy and its technical capacity. The central argument is that in politically controlled bureaucracies, stronger technical capacity can facilitate corruption: capable bureaucrats use their skills to shield favored firms from competition through complex strategies that reduce the risk of detection.

📚 Evidence From Guatemalan Municipal Contracts (2013–2019)

The argument is tested on a novel, large-scale dataset and an original measure of political networks:

  • 54,623 municipal contracts awarded in Guatemala between 2013 and 2019
  • 21,631 firm–politician ties linking firms and elected officials

🧠 Key Findings

  • More capable bureaucracies increase the likelihood that well-connected firms win contracts via less competitive processes.
  • The mechanism is procedural sophistication: technically skilled bureaucrats implement complex, low-profile manipulations that favor friends while minimizing detection.

⚖️ Why It Matters

The results challenge the common assumption that improving technical capacity alone reduces corruption. Findings offer concrete policy lessons for anti-corruption reform, introduce a widely applicable measure of political networks, and provide new insights into how bureaucratic capacity and political control interact as sources of corruption.

Comparative Political Studies
Bureaucratic Capacity and Political Favoritism in Public Procurement was authored by Diego Romero. It was published in CPS in 2025. Find on Google Scholar10.1177/00104140241259448
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