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Electoral Timing Matters? Field Experiment on U.S. Incentives Shows Nuances

Did the timing of elections influence local economic development policies? We conducted a field experiment across over 3,000 U.S. municipalities to investigate this.

Method:

  • Legally incorporated a consultancy firm and posed inquiries on behalf of a fictional investor seeking municipal incentives.
  • Tested whether pre- or post-election periods affected the likelihood of local governments offering investment incentives.

Findings:

  • Overall results showed no significant difference in incentive offers based on election timing. • However, analysis limited to manufacturing-focused municipalities suggests an effect does exist here.
  • Additional observational insights indicate that executive elections and partisanship may correlate with these policies.

Why It Matters:

This research highlights the complex interplay between electoral politics and economic policy implementation at local levels.

American Journal of Political Science
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Cycles in Investment Incentives: A Field Experiment on Over 3,000 U.S. Municipalities was authored by Nathan Jensen, Michael Findley and Daniel Nielson. It was published in AJPS in 2020. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/ajps.12499
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