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White Voters vs. Black Votes: How Job Losses Drive Political Divisions

Deindustrialization fueled by globalization and automation sparks contrasting voter responses in US presidential elections.

📍 Core Argument

The study argues job losses differently affect white voters, who often see deindustrialization as threatening racial hierarchy, versus Black voters.

🔍 Research Design & Findings

  • Examined three US presidential elections (shortened to 'elections' for clarity)
  • Found white voters more likely to support Republican challengers in areas with high layoffs
  • Observed Democrats gaining votes from Black residents in heavily impacted regions
  • Survey data revealed differing perceptions of job losses between racial groups

📊 Real-World Relevance

This research demonstrates how shared economic shocks can divide populations along identity lines, offering insights into persistent political polarization.

American Political Science Review
Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting was authored by Leonardo Baccini. It was published in APSR in 2021. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0003055421000022
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