New research reveals how national elections impact international cooperation.
Context: The study analyzes decision-making dynamics within the European Union, specifically examining the effects of pending elections.
Method & Findings: Using quantitative analysis and case studies,
- Elections significantly reduce agreement chances between nations.
- This reduction is most pronounced in close, uncertain contests.
- Larger member states exert a stronger influence during their electoral periods.
Implications: The findings suggest political uncertainty creates friction in international negotiations. They challenge traditional understandings of the 'two-level game' framework and highlight legislative bargaining complexities within institutions like the EU.
