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(will be reviewed).

Why the US-led trading system may endure despite recent protectionism

This replication package accompanies an article that asks whether recent across-the-board and country- and sector-specific tariffs introduced in the second Trump administration spell the end of the liberal international trading system. The authors argue against the view that the regime is collapsing, characterizing US trade policy historically as "eclectic"—a mix of protectionist and liberal impulses—and framing the system as resilient and adaptable despite unprecedented recent actions. The replication materials support the article’s historical and comparative claims about continuity and change in US trade policy.

Bold claim: US trade policy has been "eclectic" across time.

Bold focus: Resilience and adaptive flexibility of the liberal trading system.

Bold material: Replication materials linked to the article.

Data and methods

The abstract identifies replication material associated with the article but does not detail the datasets, measures, or empirical strategy in the abstract itself. The project provides a replication data DOI alongside the publication DOI, indicating that supporting data and code are available for readers who want to inspect or reproduce the article’s analyses.

Main findings

Based on historical patterns, the authors contend that US engagement with global commerce has combined protectionist and liberal tendencies rather than following a single trajectory. They argue the trading system has shown "resilience and an ability to adapt," and they offer three reasons to expect a return to a more traditional US trade approach despite the 2025 policy shifts described as "unprecedented since World War II." The abstract frames these claims as interpretive and historically grounded rather than as definitive causal proof.

  • The authors challenge narratives that the system is on the brink of collapse.
  • They emphasize eclecticism in US trade policy and the regime’s adaptive flexibility.
  • The replication materials are provided to support transparency and scrutiny.
International Organizations
Replication Material for "Weathering the Storm: US Trade Policy Beyond Trump" was authored by Andreas Dür and Alessia Invernizzi. It was published in IO in 2025. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/s0020818325101112
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