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How Pro‑Beijing Media Sway Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

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Why Media Exposure Matters

This article by Jay C. Kao and Jay Chieh Kao investigates whether and how pro‑Beijing media affect voters. The question speaks to broader debates in political communication and electoral influence: can partisan or state‑aligned media change political attitudes and voting behavior when exposure is manipulated experimentally?

What the Authors Did

Kao and Kao use a randomized field experiment to estimate the causal impact of exposure to pro‑Beijing media on citizens' political views and reported voting preferences. The project pairs a real‑world intervention with rigorous random assignment to isolate media effects from confounding factors that typically plague observational studies of media and politics.

How the Experiment Worked

  • Treatment: Participants were randomly assigned to receive (or not receive) exposure to pro‑Beijing media content as part of the field intervention.
  • Outcomes: The study measures downstream political outcomes—such as political attitudes, perceptions of political actors, and self‑reported vote intentions—after treatment exposure.
  • Transparency: The authors provide replication data and analysis scripts to allow others to reproduce and inspect the reported estimates.

What the Paper Reports

The article presents causal estimates of how pro‑Beijing media exposure moves voter attitudes and reported voting choices. Detailed statistical analyses, robustness checks, and the accompanying replication materials document the study's design and results; readers can consult the replication files for exact estimates, confidence intervals, and model specifications.

Why Readers Should Care

By combining a field experiment with open replication materials, the study offers credible evidence about media influence in a politically salient context. Its design and transparency make it a useful reference for scholars and policymakers interested in media effects, electoral integrity, and the role of partisan or state‑aligned outlets in shaping democratic outcomes.

Article card for article: How the Pro-Beijing Media Influences Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment
How the Pro-Beijing Media Influences Voters: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment was authored by Jay C. Kao and Jay Chieh Kao. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2026.
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American Political Science Review