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Why Presidents Reframe Wars to Win Public Support

military interventionpresidential rhetoricFramingPolitical Behaviorquantitative text analysisforeign policy communicationAmerican Politics@JOP1 R file2 Stata files1 datasetDataverse
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Why This Question Matters

Democratic publics do not equally accept all uses of military force. Leaders therefore face both constraints and incentives: they must justify costly interventions to win public backing, but they also can try to shape how those interventions are understood. Kerry Chavez asks how U.S. presidents use language to align public opinion with the decision to intervene abroad.

What Kerry Chavez Examined

Chavez studies whether executives emphasize popular justifications for force even when those rationales do not match the government’s actual military objectives, and whether they suppress less popular but more accurate frames. The article focuses on U.S. presidential communication around international militarized interventions and the tension between rhetorical persuasion and factual congruence.

Methods and Data

  • Uses quantitative text analysis to classify communication frames in presidential speeches, public remarks, and congressional announcements that justify international uses of force.
  • Combines these text measures with regression techniques to assess the congruence between the frames presidents deploy and the underlying military objectives.

Key Findings

  • Presidents systematically emphasize widely accepted justificatory schemas—such as humanitarian or security rationales—more often than would match the stated or observable objectives of the intervention.
  • Conversely, less popular but more accurate frames are downplayed or omitted even when they better reflect the intervention’s goals.
  • This rhetorical strategy appears aimed at maximizing public buy-in for risky overseas action, despite exposing presidents to potential electoral or reputational costs if the public later judges the framing dishonest.

Implications for Policy and Scholarship

The findings highlight a persistent tradeoff between democratic accountability and executive persuasion in foreign policy. Chavez’s results suggest that presidential speechmaking is a strategic tool for shaping public support for force, with consequences for oversight, transparency, and the study of presidential behavior in both American politics and international relations.

Article card for article: US Military Intervention and Presidential Communication Frames
US Military Intervention and Presidential Communication Frames was authored by Kerry Chávez. It was published by Chicago in JOP in 2024.
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