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Why Hotter Districts Spark Climate Legislation: Partisan Responses to Local Temperature Anomalies

This study examines agenda setting behavior regarding climate change bills in U.S. state legislatures, focusing on local temperature effects.

Data & Methods:

  • Created an original data set mapping climate anomalies at the state legislative district level.
  • Incorporates individual (legislator), chamber (House/Senate), district, and state characteristics to predict bill sponsorship behavior.
  • Utilizes a multilevel model analyzing 25,000 legislators from 2011-2015 regarding climate change bill sponsorship.

Key Findings:

📊 Temperature Anomalies: Significant local temperature changes correlated with increased climate bill sponsorship among Democratic members but not Republican members.

🔍 Partisan Contrast: Democrats responded to these localized climate cues, while Republicans did not show responsiveness.

Real-World Significance:

  • Demonstrates how local-level data can illuminate state legislative processes.
  • Suggests motivations behind state-level climate innovation may be partisan and locally influenced.
State Politics & Policy Quarterly
Hot Districts, Cool Legislation: Evaluating Agenda Setting in Climate Change Bill Sponsorship in U.S. States was authored by Mirya Holman, Rebecca Bromley-Trujillo and Andres Sandoval. It was published in SPPQ in 2019. Find on Google Scholar10.1177/1532440019842175
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