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Local Battles Shape Distant Police Perceptions in Afghanistan

This article examines how residents' views of police change despite varying exposure to violence nearby.

Data & Methods

  • Researchers surveyed Afghan citizens across different regions known for differing conflict levels.
  • Analyzed responses through statistical models (OLS regression) to identify patterns correlating local intensity with public opinion.

Key Findings

  • Contrary to expectations, people living near intense fighting often had more negative police perceptions than expected.
  • Remote observers of the same high-conflict areas demonstrated surprisingly positive views.
  • Distance from actual combat appears inversely related to favorable assessments of law enforcement effectiveness.

Why It Matters

These findings complicate assumptions about how proximity shapes security sector accountability in conflict environments. The results suggest policymakers must consider widespread perceptions when designing stabilization programs, even where citizens remain physically distant from active fighting.

Journal of Politics
Local Conflict Intensity and Public Perceptions of the Police: Evidence from Afghanistan was authored by Annekatrin Deglow and Ralph Sundberg. It was published in JOP in 2021. Find on Google Scholar10.1086/711559
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