Brazilian municipal elections often feature nonpolicy voter appeals, such as clientelism. But this study suggests that candidate profiles matter too.
📍 The Conventional View
It was thought that voters' preference for left-leaning descriptive representation would help the Left attract poor votes.
🔍 New Insight & Methodology
This paper uses a regression discontinuity design to analyze Brazilian elections data. We find something counterintuitive: Right-wing mayors actually spend more on policies helping the poor in cities with high poverty rates than their left-leaning counterparts do.
📊 Key Findings
- The Right matches Left's pro-poor policy positions only in areas with significant poverty
- To make themselves electable among the poor, they strategically select candidates who are demographically similar to those voters
- This finding contradicts assumptions that descriptive representation benefits only left-leaning parties
- Less educated candidates appear particularly effective for this strategy
