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Prosecutions Improve Physical-Integrity Rights, Amnesties Strengthen Civil Rights

transitional justiceprosecutionsamnestiesHuman Rightsemerging democraciescross-national datasetComparative Politics@ISQ1 Stata file2 DatasetsDataverse
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Why This Question Matters

Transitional justice tools—criminal prosecutions, amnesties, and related measures—are a central strategy for new democracies seeking to deter future abuses and consolidate democratic rule. Scholars and practitioners debate whether these tools reduce human rights violations and whether they do so in similar or different ways. Geoff Dancy, Bridget E. Marchesi, Tricia D. Olsen, Leigh A. Payne, Andrew G. Reiter, and Kathryn Sikkink address persistent uncertainties about selection, timing, and variation in state practice.

New Database and Research Strategy

The authors build and employ a new cross-national database of transitional justice mechanisms to bring clearer evidence to these debates. That resource allows them to move beyond case anecdotes and prior aggregate measures by distinguishing specific kinds of policies (for example, prosecutions versus amnesties) and by analyzing how effects unfold over time.

How the Study Tests Competing Perspectives

The analysis evaluates propositions drawn from realist, constructivist, and holistic theoretical approaches to transitional justice. The authors explicitly confront methodological problems that have plagued earlier work, including selection bias (which countries choose which policies), short- versus long-term effects, and qualitative differences in how states implement transitional justice mechanisms.

Key Findings

  • Prosecutions are associated with improvements in physical-integrity protections (reductions in politically motivated killings, torture, and other forms of bodily violation).
  • Amnesties are linked with stronger protections for civil and political rights broadly understood (for example, political freedoms and legal civil liberties).
  • Different transitional justice policies therefore appear to play distinct, potentially positive roles in emerging democracies rather than producing uniform outcomes.

What This Means for Policy and Research

The results suggest policymakers face trade-offs and complementarities when choosing transitional justice instruments: prosecutions and amnesties are not simply opposite options but have different implications for types of rights protection. For scholars, the study demonstrates the value of disaggregating policies and accounting for selection and temporal dynamics when evaluating transitional justice outcomes.

Article card for article: Behind Bars and Bargains: New Findings on Transitional Justice in Emerging Democracies
Behind Bars and Bargains: New Findings on Transitional Justice in Emerging Democracies was authored by Geoff Dancy, Bridget E Marchesi, Tricia D Olsen, Leigh A Payne, Andrew G Reiter and Kathryn Sikkink. It was published by Oxford in ISQ in 2019.
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