
Why This Question Matters
Transitional justice tools—criminal prosecutions, amnesties, and related measures—are a central strategy for new democracies seeking to deter future abuses and consolidate democratic rule. Scholars and practitioners debate whether these tools reduce human rights violations and whether they do so in similar or different ways. Geoff Dancy, Bridget E. Marchesi, Tricia D. Olsen, Leigh A. Payne, Andrew G. Reiter, and Kathryn Sikkink address persistent uncertainties about selection, timing, and variation in state practice.
New Database and Research Strategy
The authors build and employ a new cross-national database of transitional justice mechanisms to bring clearer evidence to these debates. That resource allows them to move beyond case anecdotes and prior aggregate measures by distinguishing specific kinds of policies (for example, prosecutions versus amnesties) and by analyzing how effects unfold over time.
How the Study Tests Competing Perspectives
The analysis evaluates propositions drawn from realist, constructivist, and holistic theoretical approaches to transitional justice. The authors explicitly confront methodological problems that have plagued earlier work, including selection bias (which countries choose which policies), short- versus long-term effects, and qualitative differences in how states implement transitional justice mechanisms.
Key Findings
What This Means for Policy and Research
The results suggest policymakers face trade-offs and complementarities when choosing transitional justice instruments: prosecutions and amnesties are not simply opposite options but have different implications for types of rights protection. For scholars, the study demonstrates the value of disaggregating policies and accounting for selection and temporal dynamics when evaluating transitional justice outcomes.

| Behind Bars and Bargains: New Findings on Transitional Justice in Emerging Democracies was authored by Geoff Dancy, Bridget E Marchesi, Tricia D Olsen, Leigh A Payne, Andrew G Reiter and Kathryn Sikkink. It was published by Oxford in ISQ in 2019. |