New research explores how voter-endorsed withdrawals from international institutions like Brexit influence public opinion abroad. Using survey data from 58,959 EU-27 Europeans and 2,241 Swiss voters collected during key political moments, the analysis finds both encouragement and deterrence effects.
Survey Data:
* Original survey: EU-27 citizens (6 waves)
* Additional survey: Swiss voters (2 waves) around Brexit extension vote
The findings reveal complex voter responses:
* Voters with positive views of withdrawal are more likely to support it elsewhere
* Negative experiences tend to deter similar actions abroad
* Effects depend on information access and attention levels
* Motivated reasoning plays a significant role in shaping opinions
| Brexit Domino? The Political Contagion Effects of Voter-Endorsed Withdrawals from International Institutions was authored by Stefanie Walter. It was published by Sage in CPS in 2021. |
