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Insights from the Field

How Campaign Dynamics Shift Across House, Senate, and Presidential Races


Campaign Effects
Comparative Analysis
House Races
Senate Elections
Voting and Elections
Pol. Behav.
1 R files
1 Stata files
1 datasets
Dataverse
Changes in Candidate Evaluations over the Campaign Season: A Comparison of House, Senate, and Presidential Races was authored by Patrick Tucker and Steven S. Smith. It was published by Springer in Pol. Behav. in 2021.

Tracking changes in candidate evaluations during campaigns reveals distinct dynamics across electoral levels.

Data & Methods:

Using longitudinal polling data from three different election contexts (House, Senate, presidential), we analyze voter sentiment shifts over time. Our approach employs comparative analysis to identify patterns unique to each political ecosystem.

Key Findings:

• House races show gradual candidate evaluation changes throughout the campaign period

• Senate contests feature more significant mid-campaign adjustments in voter perceptions

• Presidential campaigns demonstrate dramatic fluctuations, particularly during debates and major news events

Why It Matters:

This nuanced understanding contributes to political science by clarifying how electoral contexts shape campaign communication effectiveness. The findings also offer practical insights for candidates strategizing across different legislative battlegrounds.

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Political Behavior
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