This article examines how natural disasters impact partisan retrospection and U.S. presidential election outcomes.
### Data & Methods
The study analyzes historical election data alongside records of significant natural disasters occurring during campaign periods.
It employs quantitative analysis to identify patterns across multiple election cycles.
### Key Findings
• Voters reevaluate party performance following major natural events
• Disaster severity correlates with increased retrospective voting intensity
• Geographic proximity affects how strongly disasters influence voter decisions
### Why It Matters
These findings offer new insights into the mechanisms by which external crises shape political perceptions and electoral behavior.
| Natural Disasters, 'Partisan Retrospection,' and U.S. Presidential Elections was authored by Boris Heersink, Jeffery Jenkins, Michael Olson and Brenton Peterson. It was published by Springer in Pol. Behav. in 2022. |
