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Electoral Uncertainty Pushes EU Legislators Toward National Party Priorities

Legislators represent multiple principals (national parties vs. European groups). How do they balance competing demands? This article argues that electoral uncertainty forces them to prioritize whichever principal is most influential for their re-election chances. Using roll-call data from the second through sixth European Parliaments (1984-2009) and measuring electoral uncertainty via volatility, we demonstrate a clear trend: periods of higher volatility corresponded with decreased legislative group cohesion.

Legislative Studies Quarterly
Multiple Principals and Legislative Cohesion was authored by Frank Thames, Stephen Meserve and Joseph Robbins. It was published in LSQ in 2017. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/lsq.12165
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