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Surprise: House Lawmakers Vote Against District Majorities More Often Than You'd Expect

Symbolic RepresentationIdentity PoliticsU.s.House Of RepresentativesCcesRegressionAmerican PoliticsPOP2 Stata files1 datasetDataverse

Do US congressmembers vote according to their constituents' policy preferences? Previous research suggests incongruent voting occurs on about one-third of roll calls. This article explores why, particularly for Republicans who vote against district majorities more often but aren't punished at the polls.

The Puzzle: Lawmakers vote against public opinion regularly despite being elected by popular vote. The rate is especially high among Republican representatives yet doesn't seem to affect election outcomes.

What We Found: Voters hold two distinct types of political preferences – policy-focused and identity-based symbolic ones. Incongruent voting reflects a disconnect between these dimensions in the US House:

* Policy Alignment: Both parties consider public policy opinions when deciding votes (≈70% alignment).

* Identity Alignment: Lawmakers align with constituents' partisan or group identities more frequently (≈65% alignment), especially among Republicans.

The Argument: This incongruence isn't noise but reflects two dimensions of voter ideology that matter differently for each party. The findings suggest operational representation differs between parties:

* Democrats: Primarily represent policy preferences in their voting patterns.

* Republicans: More strongly represent identity-based symbolic preferences, even when policy alignment would be expected.

How We Did It: Using CCES survey data from 2008-2014 alongside roll-call records and district-level measures. Statistical analysis shows both dimensions significantly influence voting behavior.

Article Card
Incongruent Voting or Symbolic Representation? Asymmetrical Representation in Congress, 2008-2014 was authored by Ryan Dawkins and Adam Cayton. It was published by Cambridge in POP in 2022.
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