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Surprise: House Lawmakers Vote Against District Majorities More Often Than You'd Expect

Identity PoliticsUnited Statessymbolic representationU.S.House of RepresentativesCCESAmerican Politics@POP2 Stata files1 datasetDataverse
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Do US congressmembers vote according to their constituents' policy preferences? Previous research suggests incongruent voting occurs on about one-third of roll calls. This article explores why, particularly for Republicans who vote against district majorities more often but aren't punished at the polls.

The Puzzle: Lawmakers vote against public opinion regularly despite being elected by popular vote. The rate is especially high among Republican representatives yet doesn't seem to affect election outcomes.

What We Found: Voters hold two distinct types of political preferences – policy-focused and identity-based symbolic ones. Incongruent voting reflects a disconnect between these dimensions in the US House:

* Policy Alignment: Both parties consider public policy opinions when deciding votes (≈70% alignment).

* Identity Alignment: Lawmakers align with constituents' partisan or group identities more frequently (≈65% alignment), especially among Republicans.

The Argument: This incongruence isn't noise but reflects two dimensions of voter ideology that matter differently for each party. The findings suggest operational representation differs between parties:

* Democrats: Primarily represent policy preferences in their voting patterns.

* Republicans: More strongly represent identity-based symbolic preferences, even when policy alignment would be expected.

How We Did It: Using CCES survey data from 2008-2014 alongside roll-call records and district-level measures. Statistical analysis shows both dimensions significantly influence voting behavior.

Article card for article: Incongruent Voting or Symbolic Representation? Asymmetrical Representation in Congress, 2008-2014
Incongruent Voting or Symbolic Representation? Asymmetrical Representation in Congress, 2008-2014 was authored by Ryan Dawkins and Adam Cayton. It was published by Cambridge in POP in 2022.
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